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《Sichuan Building Science》 2008-01
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Application of population forecast model on the research of urbanization developing aims

JIA Liuqiang,SHU Bo,TANG Youhai(Faculty of Architecture,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China)  
The method to establish the region's population forecast model was promoted in this paper,and through this way,the Guang'an city population forecast model has been established,and also,the method was carried out to forecast Urbanization Developing Aims.The population natural-increasing model and conversion of surplus labors model were used to forecast the Urbanization Developing Aims of Guang'an city's Eleventh "Five-Year" Plan,and also,to achieve the Urbanization Developing Aims,the population amount that the Guang'an city should be transferred was advanced in this paper.
【Fund】: 广安市“十一五”城镇体系发展规划基金项目
【CateGory Index】: C922.2
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