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《Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin》 2012-07
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Research on Worldwide Land Use and Land Cover Change

Li Yan1 et al.(1 School of Tourism and Geographical Science,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,China)  
Climate change and land use change why population is creasing and social economy developed are two main aspect about landscape pattern dynamic influenced.Nature vegetation pattern were changed and caused some affects of biodiversity that the direct consequece of climate change;at the same times,the land use may lead to more complicated landscape pattern dynamic.Therefore,we summarized that evolution and hot topic of LUCC driving force and reviewed the model of LUCC.LUCC driving force normally divided into two categories: Socio-economic and Natural Driving Forces,Natural Driving Forces that Background factors,Socio-economic that an active factors.The paper divides the LUCC forcasting models into three categories: empirical,dynamic and dynamic-spatial models.Empirical models mainly include grey dynamic models and markov chain mod-el,which work basing on historical data.Dynamic models include linear regression model,non-linear regression model,system dynamic model and artificial neural network model,and so on,which are deduced from LUCC dynamics.Typical dynamic-spatial models in use are Geo-CA model,Agent based model and CLUE-S model.Such models can not only reveal the dynamic characteristics of LUCC,but perform spatial simulation,as is the development tendency of LUCC forecasting models.At last,we analysis indeterminacy and prospect the development direction in area about land use and land cover changed.It's the basis for researching effects of ecology of landscape pattern.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助(No.31100351)
【CateGory Index】: F301.2
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