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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2007-08
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Study on Dynamic Changes of Land Use in Xuzhou City Based on Markov Model

HU Zhao-ling et al(College of Urban and Environment Sciences,Xuzhou Normal University,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116)  
Based on the satellite remote sensing TM/ETM+ images,maps of rural land use in Xuzhou city from1994 to 2003 were obtained.Annual change rate indexes and transfer matrix of land use types were calculated.Dynamic changes of land use in the city were forecasted based on Markov model.Then,the characteristics of land use from 1994 to 2003 were discussed.The changes of construction land and unused land were significant;changes of green land and cropland ranked second;but there were no significant changes in water body.In the following 18 years,construction land would constantly increase and cropland would further decrease.Meanwhile,green land would increase at a low speed.
【Key Words】: Land use Remote sensing Markov model Xuzhou city
【Fund】: 江苏省高校自然科学研究计划项目(05KJB420133)
【CateGory Index】: F293.2
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