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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2008-12
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Forecast of Aging-trend Based on Song Jian's Model of Population Development

XIE Jian-wen et al (Mathematical Modeling Innovative Practice Base,Zhuhai College of Jinan University,Zhuhai,Guangdong 519070)  
In this thesis the aging trend of Chinese population was forecasted with the mechanism analysis,parameter identification and basic statistical principles.Firstly,we fixed the parameter with statistical data.Then,we brought those data into the Song Jian's Model of Population Development to forecast the aging-trend of Chinese population.And the predictive result was that the percent of the elders in China would be 11.7% in 2015.
【Fund】: 暨南大学第九批教改项目
【CateGory Index】: C924.23
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