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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2008-24
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Study on the Forecast Model of Urban Constructive Land Based on the Gray System Theory

TANG Jing et al(College of Urban and Environmental Science,Huazhong Normal University,Wuhan,Hubei 430079)  
According to the existing problems of the present forecast methods for urban constructive land use in China,the grey system theory(the gray correlation and the gray GM(1,1) forecast model) was introduced to forecast the urban constructive land use in Qianjiang City.Gray GM(1,1) model was used to forecast the urban population.And the effects of each factor on urban constructive land were analyzed by gray correlation.Readjustment was carried out combining with the control coefficient of construction land.Furthermore,a kind of intensive projection method was proposed.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(40671078);; 潜江市国土资源局资助项目
【CateGory Index】: F293.2
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