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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2008-26
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Analysis and Application of Sea Surface Temperature and Drought and Flood in Southwest Shandong Province

KONG Li(Jiading District Weather Office of Shanghai,Shanghai 201821)  
Drought is one of the important natural disasters which threatens the produce of agriculture in southwest Shandong Province.Annual precipitation series from 1957 to 2004 were analyzed.Weather saltation of precipitation in southwest Shandong Province was revealed.The correlative investigation of sea temperature of former twelve months was carried out by the precipitation sequence which was conducted from spring to winter.A passel of preponderant correlation areas were educed.Analysis result showed that the correlative area had the characteristics of spreading along the sea,most correlative areas were imposed to the sea.Forecast factors in each dominant correlation region were selected.The optimal subset was used to establish precipitation forecast equation in every month and season.Through two years' test,better forecast effect was obtained.
【CateGory Index】: S42
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