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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2009-23
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Study on Water Resource Carrying Capacity of Xuzhou City

LIU Guang-min et al(Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Engineering,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116)  
According to the present situation of Xuzhou City,four main indices were chosen,including industry,agriculture,living and ecology as water requirement index.Based on the basic present situation of metropolis area economy development and the statistical data research analysis for many years,with the help of this grey predictive model,the main indices of social economy in this area in 2010,2020 years were predicted.By using the simple target optimization model,of the water resource of Xuzhou City was the only object is to support.The predictive population by using the GM model was compared with the threshold population calculated by the equation,which showed that the water resource of 2010 year could support the social development while in the year of 2020,the water resource won't be sufficient for peoples' living.Aiming at the shortage of water resources,some suggestions were put forward for the reasonable utilization of water esources Xuzhou City.
【CateGory Index】: TV211.1
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