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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2010-11
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Simulation on Land Use Change Based on Logistic Regression CA——With Huadu in Guangzhou as an Example

ZHENG De-ben et al (Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510640)  
The land use change of Huadu in Guangzhou was simulated based on CA model with C# language and ArcEngine GIS platform. The probability of characteristic variable was determined with logistic regression method,and the cellular transformation probability was determined combining with constraint condition,field action and randomly action. The transforming state of cellular in the next time was determined through comparison of transition probability threshold. The results showed that the stimulated general accuracy was 79.3%,and the Moran I index was close to the actual situation,which indicated that the model had stronger practicality.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(30970482)
【CateGory Index】: F301.2
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