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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2010-31
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Analysis of UV Radiation Intensity and Monthly Forcast Equations in Zaozhuang

YUAN Wen-hua et al(Zaozhuang Meteorological Bureau,Zaozhuang,Shandong 277800)  
Based on the analysis of the ultraviolet data in Zaozhuang,the variation features of its ultraviolet radiation intensity were obtained.Results indicated that the UV radiation intensity was the strongest in summer and the weakest in winter;the maximum UV radiation intensity during a day appeared around 13:00;the diurnal variations of UV intensity in each seasons were similar,presenting a roughly symmetrical distribution at noon.UV radiation intensity had obvious correlation with atmospheric turbidity and eeather conditions which Affect AOD.The stepwise regression method was adopted to deduce the monthly prediction equations of UV index in Zaozhuang,whose multiple correlation coefficients reached 0.924 0.The actual observation data verified that the stepwise regression method had certain accuracy and practical business application value in forecasting UV radiation index.
【CateGory Index】: P422.1
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