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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2010-34
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Analysis on Suitable Distribution Area of Bactrocera dorsalis (Oriental Fruit Fly) Based on GARP Ecological Niche Model

LIU Jian-hong et al(Xinyu University,Jiangxi Province,Xinyu,Jiangxi 338000)  
[Objective]To provide the scientific basis for effective monitoring and early warning on oriental fruit fly in Jiangxi Province.[Method]Using the distribution data and environmental factor data of oriental fruit fly,the potential distribution area of oriental fruit fly in Jiangxi Province was predicted by GARP ecological niche model.[Result]The total suitable area for oriental fruit fly in Jiangxi province was over two thirds of the whole province.Most areas in southern Jiangxi basin ranged from 24°N to 26° N were the high suitable area for oriental fruit fly,where the annual average temperature was 19-20 ℃.Part areas in north Ganzhou and small areas in southwest Ji'an,Fuzhou,Yingtan,southeast Shangrao ranged from 26° N to 27° N were the moderate suitable areas for oriental fruit fly,where the annual average temperature was 18-19 ℃.The low suitable area was ranged from 26°N to 30°N including Binhu,Ganjiang River,Fuhe,Yuanshui area and Southwestern Mountain of Jiangxi Province,where the annual average temperature was 17-18 ℃.Northeast Jiangxi,Northwest Jiangxi and the regions bording upon Yangtse river was predicted to be unsuitable area of oriental fruit fly,where the annual average temperature was 16-17 ℃.[Conclusion]The results showed that the actual distribution of oriental fruit fly basically accorded with the predictive distribution by GARP.
【Fund】: 江西省教育厅科技计划项目(GJJ08471);; 云南省重点学科“森林保护学”建设项目(XKZ200905)
【CateGory Index】: S433
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