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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2011-20
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Shallow Analysis on the First Spring Soaking Rain Weather and Precipitation Potential Forecast in Jinzhou Area in 2010

LI Zhuo-li et al (Jinzhou Meteorological Bureau in Liaoning Province,Jinzhou,Liaoning 121000)  
[Objective] The research aimed to study the first spring soaking rain weather and the precipitation potential forecast in Jinzhou area in 2010.[Method] From the weather situation characteristic,main influence system,forecast service,artificial precipitation enhancement operation and so on,the first spring soaking rain weather process in Jinzhou area in 2010 was comprehensively summarized.[Result] The weather situation characteristic of soaking rain was that the high-altitude cold air was weak,and the low-level warm wet airflow was obvious.The main influence systems were the high-altitude trough,the high-altitude shear line and the ground Mongolia cyclone.The ground inverted trough system advanced northward and got through the same phase of Mongolia cyclone,which provided the certain energy and water vapor for the precipitation in Jinzhou area.It was one of key reasons for generating the soaking rain.The numerical forecast product played the certain guidance role in the forecast service work.The situation field forecast was accurate,but the precipitation forecast deviation was big.Therefore,the forecast service couldn't depend on the numerical forecast product simply and totally.It should combine with the actual monitoring data to analyze and apply comprehensively.[Conclusion] The research played the safeguarding role for carrying out the large-scale artificial precipitation enhancement operation successfully in the whole area of Jinzhou.
【CateGory Index】: P456;P481
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