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《Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences》 2011-24
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Analysis on the Characteristic and Predictability of Monthly Precipitation in Ningxia

CHEN Hai-bo et al(Ningxia Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Preventing and Mitigation,Yinchuan,Ningxia 750002)  
Based on monthly observed precipitation data at 19 meteorological stations in the Ningxia and 74 atmospheric circulation exponentials data of the National Climate Center,the temporal and spatial distribution characteristic and predictability were analyzed by variance,Empirical Orthogonal Function(EOF),Optimal Subset Regression(OSR).Results indicated that the coefficient of variance of precipitation in winter was bigger.The variance contribution of EOF1 changed with 'U' trend,while that of EOF2 changed conversely;the spatial distribution was divided into three areas form north to south.The history return fitting accuracy rate was different from Jan to Nov,it maintained at a high level during January to April,but then gradually decreased to the minimum in May.
【CateGory Index】: P457.6
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