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studies on Method of Using Time Series Analysis to Build the Model of the Quantity Dynamics of Population

Xu Li and Zhang Qingguo(Anhui Agricultural University , Hefei 230036)  
The methed using time series analysis to build the model of the quantity dynamics ofpopulation were studied in this papor.The non-stationary time series within the dynamic data ofpopulation were treated by parameter method.The white-noise test and the fitting using ARMAmodel were made for the residuals.The results showed that the medel builded by the methodprovided in this paper was better than that builded by other methed,The method was morerational and believable in theoretical.
【CateGory Index】: Q-332
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