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《Journal of Safety and Environment》 2001-04
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WANG Zheng, ZHENG Yi ping & FENG Hao jie (Opening Laboratory of Cities and Environment, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China)  
The problem of economy security under the changes of global climate is paid more attention all over the world now. And its complexity and indeterminacy become a focus in research. The present paper discusses the problem of Chinese economy security under the changes of global climate in three steps. First, the complexity of changes of global climate is analyzed. Through the analysis a model could being used to evaluate the environment and economy security under the changes of global climate is obtained. This model is based on the model of Lave and Shevliakova. Second, a mathematic simulation about proportion of food demand and supply from 2025 to 2050 in China is given by SEI model. Through the simulation two conclusions are obtained. They are (1) in 2025, if food consumption level in China keeps the level of 1990 then there is no problem of food security. If food consumption level is improved then there is problem of food shortage. And the percentage of food shortage is about 7%~8%; (2) in 2050, if the population in China is in control then there is no problem of food security. Because now the population in some areas is not in control actually, in the future the proportion of food demand and supply will keep in 0.92~1.04. Third, the analysis of water problem in China based on the statistic data in 1985 is given. In the analysis a general equilibrium model is used. By the calculation and the analysis a conclusion that the affection of water under the changes of global climate could not lead to problems of economy security in China is gained.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目 (编号 :49970 0 0 8) ;; 教育部重点课题项目
【CateGory Index】: X820.4
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Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 TANG Xin-qiang1, ZUO Feng-hua2, WANG Hong1, OHTOSHI Kunio3(1 Department of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Taishan Medical University, Taian 271016, Shandong, China; 2 Department of Information Science, Taishan Medical University, Taian 271016, Shandong, China; 3 Faculty of Agriculture, Kochi University, Kochi 783-8502, Japan);Fluctuation in addition to the ground-water over-pumping[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2008-01
2 Xiong Wei Ju Hui Xu Yinlong Lin Erda (Institute of Agro-Environment and Sustainable Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijijng 100081);The Food Security of China under IPCC SRES A2 and B2 Scenarios[J];Meteorological;2006-11
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1 QI Xin -an(Anhui Provincial Staff and Workers' University,Hefei,Anhui,230001);A Discussion on the Multiobjective Optimization Problem of Regional Economic Planning[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural University;2001-03
2 TANG Xin-qiang1,WANG Hong1,ZUO Feng-hua2,OHTOSHI Kunio3(1 Department of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering,Taishan Medical University,Taian 271016,Shandong,China;2 Department of Information Science,Taishan Medical University,Taian 271016,Shandong,China;3 Faculty of Agriculture,Kochi University,Kochi 783-8502,Japan);Numerical simulation of fresh-saline water interface interactive regularities in coastal areas due to the tidal fluctuation[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2007-04
3 YU Xiu-bin, REN Ruo-en (School of Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083);Relations and Measurements of TFP, Technological Efficiency, and Technological Advances[J];Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(Social Sciences Edition);2000-02
4 ZHOU Xiao-ping~1, LU Yan-xia~2, CHEN Bai-ming~2(1.Shcool of Management, BNU, Beijing, 100875;2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources, CAS, Beijing 100101, China);Correlation of Grain Production and Cultivation Land Resources Changes in Recent China[J];Journal of Beijing Normal University(Social Science Edition);2005-05
5 Zhang Zhiqiang (Beijing Agricaltural College,Beijing 102206);The Main Ingrediend Analysing Method of Effecting Reason of Chinese Grain Production[J];Journal of Beijing Agricultural College;2001-01
7 WANG Zhao-hui~1, WANG Ke-lin~1, XIONG Yan~2, XU Lian-fang~1 (1. Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, The Chinese Academy of Sciences,Changsha 410125,China; 2. Faculty of Resource and Environment Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, china);TREND AND DRIVING FORCE OF CULTIVATED LAND USE CHANGE IN HUNAN PROVINCE[J];Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin;2004-01
8 YU Yong-jun, LU Yu-qi (College of Geographic Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China);CHANGING TENDENCY AND PROTECTION STRATEGY FOR CULTIVATED LAND IN JIANGXI PROVINCE[J];Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin;2004-03
9 LIU Hui-yu~1, LIN Zhen-shan~1, ZHANG Ming-yang~2 (1.Geographical Science College, Nanjing Normal University ,Nanjing 210097,China; 2.Institute of Subtropical Agriculture,The Chinese Academy of Sciences,Changsha 410125,China);WAVELET ANALYSIS OF GRAIN OUTPUT IN JIANGSU PROVINCE DURING THE LAST 50 YEARS[J];Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin;2004-05
10 XIA Jun 1,WANG Zhong-gen 1,Mu Hong-qiang 2 (1.Wuhan University of Hydraulic and Electric Engineering,Wuhan,Hubei 430072,China; 2.Changjiang Vocational University,Chibi,Hubei 437302,China);Study on Evaluation Index System of Sustainable Water Resources Management[J];JOURNAL OF CHANGJIANG VOCATIONAL UNIVERSITY;2000-02
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Wu Wenbin1,2,3, Yang Peng1,2, Tang Huajun1,2, Zhou Qingbo1,2, Chen Zhongxin1,2, Shibasaki Ryosuke3(1. Key Laboratory of Resources Remote Sensing & Digital Agriculture, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100081; 2. Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081; 3. Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan);A NEW METHOD OF FOOD SAFETY ASSESSMENT[J];Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning;2010-01
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