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《Journal of Safety and Environment》 2005-06
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On assessment method to emergency shelter adaptation by using the statistic theory for fuzzy centralization

WU Zong-zhi~1,HUANG Dian-jian~2,CAI Si-jing~2,JIANG Zhong-an~2 (1 China Academy of Safety Science & Technology,Beijing 100029,China;2 Civil and Environment School,Beijing University of Science & Technology,Beijing 100083,China)  
The paper aims to present the authors' research on an Assessment Approach to emergency shelter adaptation by using the statistic theory for fuzzy centralization based on the analytic hierarchy processing(AHP).In our research we have selected 18 assessment indexes.The whole research has been done around the planning,internal hardware and external software environment,according to the inherent characteristics of the urban emergency shelter,then followed by an analysis of the hierarchical comprehensive assessment model of factors,which may affect the emergency shelter adaptation.Based on the theory of fuzzy centralization statistics,the total weights of all the indexes are brought about for the reliability analysis.The assessment conclusion can be drawn through the linear adding weight model.The results of analysis indicate that the value of emergency adaptation is good via one example in Beijing.The conclusion also indicates that the assessment method is more objective than other methods and it can be applied to many assessment fields,such as management,resource planning and sustainable development,though the assessment index system is not yet perfect,which leaves much to do in the future.With the ever-speeding-up pace of urbanization and the sprawling of our urban areas,all kinds of haphazard keep happening to our cities from time to time incessantly.Therefore,it is absolutely necessary to improve the assessment for emergency management capacity in hope to reduce the losses and provide quantitative basis for governmental decisions.
【CateGory Index】: X915.2
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