Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Safety and Environment》 2010-05
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Method of emergency resources demand forecasting based on case-based reasoning

WANG Wei, LIU Mao (Center for Urban Public Safety Research, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071 , China)  
With the development of economy and society, the human population size and property gathered in one place are increasing gradually. Tremendous losses of human life and property would happen in the accidents and natural disasters (earthquakes, floods, storms, etc.), as well as the induced secondary disasters (fire, explosion , leakage of toxic substances, etc. ) . When major natural disasters or emergency accidents happen, the best way to reduce casualties and property losses is through initializing the emergency plan and allocate the emergency resources as soon as possible. The demand forecasting is the premise and basis for emergency resources allocations. The ultimate purpose of demand forecasting is to ensure the success of the rescue action and enable the victims to safely escape from the dangers. At present, there are only limited numbers of studies regarding the emergency resource demand prediction can be found in the literature. In our study, the demand forecasting is carried out by applying case-based reasoning along with the method of risk analysis. The theoretical principle of case-based reasoning is similarity theory . This article has made use of the method to predict the emergency resource demands based on quantity, quality, and categories. The forecasted results showed that this new method is able to satisfy the requirement of emergency cases and it exhibits high potential for other practical applications. Accuracy of the proposed method can be improved by the accumulation of case database.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目(70833003)
【CateGory Index】: X928.03
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 ZHOU Ye 1,WU Feng-ping 2,CHEN Yan-ping 2(1.Security Management,Jiangsu Police Institute,Nanjing 210031,China;2.Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China);Emergency Reserved Water Demand Estimation for Public Events of Accidental Water Source Pollution[J];Journal of Natural Resources;2013-08
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 YANG Xian-qi1, LI Jian-yang2,3, LAN Tian-cai3, LIU Hui-ting1(1.School of commercial management, Anhui university, Hefei 230039;2.Institute of Computer Network, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009;3.Department of computer science, Longyan university, Longyan Fujian 364000);Researches on application of case-based reasoning in decision science[J];Journal of East China Institute of Technology(Natural Science);2008-02
2 WANG Ji - yu , WANG Jin - tao ( Management School of Shanghai Jiaotong University , Shanghai 200052, China);A Study of Emergency Decision Support System Based on Case - Based Reasoning[J];Policy-making Reference;2003-06
3 Jiang Lihong(College of Management, Fudan University)Liu Bao(Institute of Systems Engineering, Tianjin University);On the Application of Case-based Reasoning to Intelligent Forecasting Support System[J];JOURNAL OF DECISION AND DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS;1996-04
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Wenliangbao1,Liu Hongxia2(1 Department of Information Management 2 The Key lab for silviculture and conservation of ministry of Education,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China);CBR-based Method for Forest Diseases Diagnosis[J];Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin;2007-18
2 WANG Yong-jun (School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081);On the Framework of the Prepared Plan Based on the Decision-making System of Economy Mobilization[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition);2005-02
3 NIU Shu-jie,LI Hong (Research Center of Language,Cognition and Langeage Application,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China);Simulating Bilingual Contextual Knowledge of Chinese Learners of English[J];Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition);2009-06
4 TANG Zhi-jie , YANG Bao-an , ZHANG Ke-jing Glorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai 200051;Design of Multi-attribute Knowledge Base Based on Hybrid Knowledge Representation[J];东华大学学报(英文版);2006-06
5 SHANG Chao-wang1,2,LIU Qing-tang1,2,YANG Zong-kai1,ZHAO Cheng-ling2,ZHU Xiao-liang11 National Engineering Research Center for E-learning,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China2 Department of Information Technology,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China;A Requirement Driven Learning Management Architecture Based on BPEL[J];东华大学学报(英文版);2010-02
6 WANG Tao1,2,WANG Yan-zhang1,LU Yan-xia3(1.School of Management,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China; 2.Department of Laboratory and Equipment,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China; 3.Department of Information Technology and Business Administration, Dalian Neusoft Institute of Information,Dalian 116023,China);Research on ontology-based meta event model of public emergencies[J];Journal of Dalian University of Technology;2012-03
7 WU Guang-mou,ZHAO Wei-chuan,JIANG Yi-ping;Research on a policy-making model of the recreation and development predication of serious urban accidents[J];Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science);2011-01
8 Xie Hongwei et al;Information Extraction Model and Application based on Domain Case Ontology of Emergence DSS[J];Computer Development & Applications;2006-02
9 Li Ruixia et al;The Research and Application on Evolutionary Reasoning to Emergency Decision[J];Computer Development & Applications;2009-07
10 HUANG Yu1,2,WANG Jian1(1.GuangDong Forestry Vocational Technology School,Guangzhou 510520,China; 2.South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640,China);Computer Vision Apply in System of CBR[J];Computer Knowledge and Technology(Academic Exchange);2007-04
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 5 Hits
1 ;The Design of A Reasoning-machine based on FCR Algorithm[A];[C];2009
2 HUANG Wei-dong (Nanjing Univ.of Posts and Telecommunications,Nanjing 210003,China);Research Knowledge Demand of Emergency Management Based on the Environment Sensation[A];[C];2007
3 Hua Cheng~1 Xu Guanghua~2 Zhang Qing~1 Liu Tan~1 Li Hongjun~1 (1 School of Mechanical Engineering Xi'an Jiaotong University Xi'an 710049 China;2 State Key Laboratory for Manufacturing System Engineering Xi'an Jiaotong University Xi'an 710049 China);Research and Application of Intelligent Maintenance Decision Technology Based on Case-Based Reasoning[A];[C];2009
4 LU Xinghua,GUO Yongheng (Department of Equipment Control and Management,Ordnance Engineering College,Shijiazhuang,China,050003);Research on Emergency Decision Support System for Equipment Unexpected Accidents Based on Case-based Reasoning[A];[C];2009
5 RONG Lili (Institute of Systems Engineering,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian,Liaoning,116085);Study on the Quick Response Oriented Knowledge Demand and Supply Method in Emergency Decision—Making Support[A];[C];2009
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHANG Yong, WANG Dong-yu, YANG Kai(Department of Environmental Science, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, China; Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Ecological Restoration, Shanghai 200062, China);Statistical analysis on water pollution incident in urban water supply area in China during the year 1985 to 2005[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2006-02
2 ZHOU Xiao-meng JIANG Li-zhen ZHANG Yun-long (Urban Public Safety Research Centre,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China);An innovated quantitative model of the optimal resource allocation in case of emergency[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2007-06
3 WANG Dong-yu ZHANG Yong (Department of Environmental Science,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China);Statistical analysis on drinking water source and supply system contamination threats and incidents for urban areas in China during 2006[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2007-06
4 GUO Xiang-nan, ZHANG Yong(Department of Environmental Science, East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062, China);Statistical analysis on the drinking-water supply system pollution incidents in China during the period of 2007 - 2008[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2009-03
5 CHEN Da-qiang,LIU Nan,MIAO Ya-ping;An optimal decision model of resource response in emergency logistics with cost constrained[J];Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science);2009-01
6 Zhao Lindu Liu Ming Dai Dongfu(School of Economics and Management,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,China);Research on scheduling problem of emergency resource with pulse need[J];Journal of Southeast University(Natural Science Edition);2008-06
7 WENG Ke-rui,YANG Chao,QU Bo(School of Management,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China);Scatter Search for Multi-allocation Hub Set Covering Problem[J];Systems Engineering;2006-11
8 MIAO Cheng,XU Wei-sheng,WU Qi-di(College of Economics and Management,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China);A Transportation Modal and Solution of Large-scale Emergency Relief Commodities[J];Systems Engineering;2006-11
9 YANG Ji-jun1,WU Qi-di1,2,CHENG Yan2,XU Wei-sheng2,HAN Chuan-feng1 (1.School of Economics & Management,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China;2.School of Electronics and Information Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China);Cooperative Game Scheduling of Relief Resources for Unconventional Emergency[J];Systems Engineering;2008-09
10 Zeng Min-gang,Cui Zeng-shou,Li Shuang(School of Business and Administration,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,China);A Novel Model for Resource Assignment among Multiple Disaster Places in Emergency Management[J];Industrial Engineering Journal;2010-01
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 Xie Xianping Feng Changgen Qian Xinming (National Key Laboratory for Prevention and Control of Explosion Disaster, Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081);Decision support system for safety management and its development[J];Industrial Safety and Dust Control;2000-06
2 CHEN Bao xiang, CAO Qi ying, XIA Zu xun (Dept. of Electronics and Information, East China Shipbuilding Institute, Zhenjiang Jiangsu 212003, China);Applying Case-Based Reasoning to Naval Tactical Decision[J];JOURNAL OF EAST CHINA SHIPBUILDING INSTITUTE;2000-05
4 XU Xiao-zhen, GAO Guo-an (Advanced Manufacture Technology Center 204#,Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001,China);Research and Implement of Case-based Reasoning in an Multi-criteria Evaluation IDSS[J];Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems;2001-01
5 ZHANG Jian-hua, LIU Zhong-ying (School of Economics and Management,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China);Case-based Reasoning and Rule-based Reasoning for Emergency Preparedness Information System[J];Journal of Tongji University;2002-07
6 ZHANG Ben-sheng, YU Yong-li(Ordnance Engineering College, Shijiazhuang 050003, China);Hybrid Similarity Measure for Retrieval in Case-based Reasoning System[J];Systems Engineering-theory & Practice;2002-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved