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Probability Method for Assessing the Hazard of Sand Seismic Liquefaction Based on Monte Carlo

CHEN Jian-feng , SHI Zhen-ming , TANG Yi-qun(Department of Geotechnical Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092 , China)  
As the hazard of sand seismic liquefaction is random, a probability method for assessing the hazard is proposed, that is, non-liquefaction, light liquefaction, middle liquefaction, and serious liquefaction are quantified with probability. The expressions to compute the liquefaction hazard probability are also proposed by the method of Monte Carlo. A case is analyzed by the probability method and the result shows that the probability method can be used to quantitatively assess the liquefaction hazard.
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