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《Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology》 2007-02
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Variation of the Dryness in the Recent 200a Derived from Tree-Rings Width Records in the East Tianshan Mountains

WANG Jin-song1,2,LI Jin-bao1,CHEN Fa-hu1,GOU Xiao-hua1,PENG Jian-feng1,LIU Pu-xing1,JIN Li-ya1(1.National Laboratory of West China's Environmental system,Center for Arid Environment and Paleoclimate Research,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China;2.Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Adminstration,Key Laboratory of Arid ClimaticChange and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,Key Open Laboratory of Arid climatie Change andDisaster Reduction of China Meteorological Adminstration,Lanzhou Gansu 730020,China)  
Tree ring width chronologies are constructed by using the tree ring cores of Larix sibirica Ledb.from four sites in eastern Tianshan Mountains.Correlation census and response functions show that the tree ring index closely relates to both precipitation and temperature in March-June(spring to early summer) at forest lower limit.The moisture index(P/T) during spring to early summer is reconstructed by using tree ring width at Barkol area in East Tianshan Mountains in the recent 200 years,with an explanation variance of 42%.Many statistical methods,such as sign test,one order difference sign test and error test,have shown that the reconstructed equation of the moisture index is reliable.It is found that the significant positive correlation between the reconstructed moisture index and the moisture index calculated from the observed data of the nearest meteorological stations,with a coefficient of 0.648.According to the definition of the moisture index,the change of the reconstructed moisture index sequence can be used to describe the change of dryness in the East Tianshan Mountains in the recent 200 years.In this area,there are 6 and 7 remarkable moist and dry periods,respectively.The reconstructed moisture index from March to June in the recent 200 years has stable periods of 11,16,5,8,3 and 32 a.
【Fund】: 科技部重大国际合作项目(2002CSB);; 教育部博士点基金项目(20020730010)资助
【CateGory Index】: P467
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