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《Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology》 2008-02
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Antarctica Sea-Ice Oscillation and Its Possible Impact on Monsoon of South Sea and China Summer Rainfall

BIAN Lin-gen1,LIN Xue-chun2(1.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081,China;2.National Climate Center,China Meteorological Adminstration,Beijing 100081,China)  
Antarctic sea-ice oscillation index with a seesaw pattern is defined Using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis girds data of monthly Antarctica sea-ice concentration from 1973 to 2002.The Relationships between the index of winter and the summer precipitations in China as well as the onset date of the summer East Asia monsoon are presented.The study result shows that the grids of correlation coefficients passed 5 % confidence level between Antarctic sea-ice oscillation index and Antarctic sea-ice concentration are more than 1/3 of all grids of Antarctica sea-ice,that means the index can represent 1/3 sea-ice area.The winter index has a significant correlation with abnormal summer(June-August) precipitation in China.The area of positive correlation lies in the Yangtze River basin and its south,and that of negative correlation lies mainly in the north of Yangtze River basin.While the winter index is positive(negative),the onset date of South China Sea monsoon is earlier(later),with a probability of 79 %(80 %).Consequently,a conceptual model is given in term of discussing the possible process between the winter Antarctic sea ice and the monsoon precipitation in China.
【Fund】: 国家科技支撑计划重点项目(2006BAB18B05);; 国家自然科学基金项目(40575033)资助
【CateGory Index】: P732.7
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