Full-Text Search:
Home|About CNKI|User Service|中文
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Dynamic Extrapolation Approach for Full Quadrant of Input-Output Table Based on Electricity Consumption Constraint

TIAN Jian-wei1,HU Zhao-guang2,WU Jun-yong1,XIAO Xiao3,XU Min-jie2(1.School of Electrical Engineering,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;2.State Grid Energy Research Institute,Beijing 100052,China;3.School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)  
An approach of dynamic extrapolation for full quadrant of Input-Output Table is proposed,and multi-agent modeling technique is used to implement the extrapolation.Each agent simulates economic individual's market behavior and adjusts the reproduction based on supply and demand situation until its electricity consumption meets wity the target year's value,and then Input-Output Table is updated.This study breakthroughs the limitation that the row sum and column sum of the intermediate input quadrant are must known in advance by taking Fundamental RAS Approach and Modified RAS Approach,and the results of extrapolating Input-Output Table from 2002yr.to 2005yr.demonstrate the feasibility and validity of the proposed approach.
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
©CNKI All Rights Reserved