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《Acta Scicentiarum Naturalum Universitis Pekinesis》 2003-S1
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The Causes and Prediction of the Persistent Storm Rainfall and Flooding Disaster in China

LI Zengzhong 1) CHENG Minghu 1) ZENG Xiaoping 2) ( 1) Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing,100081; 2) Institute of Geophysics,China Seismological Bureau,Beijing,100081)  
The causes and prediction of persistent storm rainfall and the flooding disaster is one of the most difficult problems in the world scientific community.A review on the author's research in the field of the cross\|equatorial flow and the relationship with the storm rainfall and flooding disaster in the last 20 years was made.At the same time,the conception of the “Larg\|scale System between two Hemispheres” presented by Prof.Li Xianzhi (Sjan\|zsi Li) and Prof.Zeng Xiaoping's research results—the relationship between the geomagnetic anomaly and the storm rainfall as well as the flooding disaster in China was introduced too.It is founded that a “synthesis of meteorology and geophysics” upon the above results to predict the storm rainfall and heavy flooding.The 5 years operational test from 1998 to 2002 showed that the “synthesis of meteorology and geophysics”approach has reasonable forecasting skill and further study and experiments are needed to improve this method.
【Fund】: 国家“九五”计划重中之重科技项目( 96 90 8);; 中国气象科学研究院“跨世纪青年学术骨干”基金资助项目
【CateGory Index】: P458.121.1
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