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《Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis》 2010-03
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Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation on Regional Environmental Risk

QU Changsheng,BI Jun,HUANG Lei,LI Fengying,YANG Jie State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse,School of the Environment,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093  
In order to assess the spatial pattern of provincial environmental risk in China,this paper constructs an index system composed of danger index and vulnerability index. Data used for comprehensive evaluation is a three-dimension system,including evaluation object,index and time. Accordingly,this paper induces time ordered weighted averaging (TOWA) operator and mathematical programming models to calculate the time weights. Through this method,environmental risk in recent 5 years was assessed and the spatial pattern of environmental risk was shown. Suggestions on risk alleviation and management were also provided on the basis of cluster analysis.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(40771080);; 国家社会科学基金重大项目(06&ZD025)资助
【CateGory Index】: X820.4
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