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《JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF AERONAUTICS AND ASTRONAUTICS》 1998-01
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Grey Model of Calamity Forecast and its Application to the Calamity Forecast

Chen Yehua\ Qiu Wanhua (Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,School of Management)  
The grey system is a incomplete system of information.A new concept of grey number etc.is developed.A new analysis method is provided for the research of information and incomplete data.It is dealing with discrete raw data by using iteration addition generator method and converts to ordered sequence of number,namely grey method.A grey forecasting model for the calamity forecast is established in this paper by using duplex difference,and the application of this model is expounded by the forecast of drought and flood.At last,the fitting precision of grey forecasting model is discussed.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金
【CateGory Index】: O22
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【Co-citations】
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1 YANG Qiuming;Jiangsu Meteorological Institute;;A study on the subseasonal forecast of low frequency rainfall over the lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley based on the 50-80 d oscillation[J];气象学报;2016-04
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9 Liu Guangping(Department of Earth sciences,East China Geological Institute,Linchunm,JX 344000);Model GM(1.1) and Appraisement of Deep deposit[J];华东地质学院学报;1998-02
10 Chen Yehua\ Qiu Wanhua (Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,School of Management);Grey Model of Calamity Forecast and its Application to the Calamity Forecast[J];北京航空航天大学学报;1998-01
【Co-references】
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1 HU Liang(Zhangjiakou Urban Expressway Management Office,Zhangjiakou 075000,China);Forecasting Methods and Applications of Surrounding Rock Deformation in Expressway Tunnel Based on Gray Theory[J];交通标准化;2013-09
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【Secondary References】
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1 HU Jinpeng;ZHU Chunmei;School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Beijing Information Science & Technology University;;Research and Application of Measurement and Control System for Water-based Power Rodless Pumping Unit Experiment Table Based on Grey Theory[J];机械工程师;2017-11
2 CHEN Xiao-yan;GUO San-dang;QIN Xiang-hui;SU Zhi-guo;PBC Zhengzhou Center Sub-branch;College of Information and Management,Henan Agricultural University;College of Forestry,Henan Agricultural University;;The Prediction of Deflation Based on the Grey Disaster Model[J];数学的实践与认识;2017-14
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4 Akelayi·Kayili;ZHANG Man;CHEN Jia;WANG Kai;Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,College of Public Health,Xinjiang Medical University;Department of AIDS/STD Control and Prevention,Urumqi Center for Disease Control and Prevention;;Prediction of HIV/AIDS infection among drug users in Urumqi City[J];职业与健康;2017-04
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6 LI Heng;KE Zi-neng;WANG Chang-zhong;LV You;Department for the History of Science and Scientific Archaeology,School of Humanities University of Science and Technology of China;;Using GM( 1,1) model for the disaster prediction of epidemic cerebrospinal meningitis in Anhui Province[J];中华疾病控制杂志;2014-09
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