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《Journal of Beijing Forestry Unversity (Social Sciences)》 2004-03
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Advances in Risk-Analysis Studies of Oasis Agriculture Exploitation

Kang Guofei 1, Zhang Kebin 2, Li Runjie 3, Wang Wenqing 31. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, 100083, P. R. China; 2. School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, 100083, P. R. China; 3. Institute of Water Resources Research, Qinghai 810001, P. R. China  
The oasis agriculture general exploitation is getting hotter with the advancement of western development policy.It has more risks with uncertainties because of the oasis special environment, which affects the oasis sustainable development. The paper, on the basis of oasis concept and its ecological characteristics, introduces the theories and appraisal approaches of the main risks (water resources risk and shelter belt risk from ecological risks) and immigrant management risk and investment risk during the oasis agriculture development and community formation, which are analyzed from water resource sustainable risk (water resources bearable analysis, water resource sustainable analysis,and ecological fragile analysis) and ecological environment sustainable(mainly shelter belt analysis) and socio\|economic sustainable development, providing a panorama of basic data for corresponding studies.
【Fund】: 国家“十五”重点科技攻关重大项目“防沙治沙关键技术研究与开发”示范区课题 :青海都兰示范区建设项目资助 (项目编号 :FS2 0 0 1 0 8)
【CateGory Index】: F323.2
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