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《JOURNAL OF BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY》 1995-03
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THE ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE MIDDLE ROUTE OF SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER TRANSFERRING SOURCE PROJECT IN CHINA

Wang Huadong ;Wang Fei (Institute of Environmental Sciences, Beijing Normal University, 100875, Beijing,PRC)  
This paper focuses on the environment risk of the middle route of south-to-north water transferring source project in China. Analytic hierarchy procass is applied to risk identification, fuzzy probability-fault tree analysis to risk probability assessment, statistics and analogy process to risk consequences assessment, lastly, grey relevant analysis and comprehensive index process to risk impact evaluation. The main environment risk accident of the project is dam failure, the main causative factors of the accident are catastrophic flood and wrecking seism. The flash flood, due to dam failure, will impact on nature, society and economy. The major environment risk areas are Jingzhou and Xiangfan district. The environment risk management measures should be adopted in order to ensure the safety of the projed-environment complex system.
【Fund】: 长江流域水资源保护局委托项目
【CateGory Index】: TV68
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