Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Auto Industry Research》 2001-10
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Shout-Term Forecast and Model Selection for China Car Market Demand

Hu Hang  
The forecast difficulty has been increased due to the faster speed in economic growth in our country, the larger fluctuation in economic growth and the close relationship with our state macro-control policies. In 1994 and 1995, after the transition from seller's market to buyer's market had been realized in automotive market in our country, the market demand structure has been changed and the demand growth is pulled by both taxi vehicle demand and private family car demand. At pre- sent, the private family car market is still in the phase of its strength accumulation and the potential increase may be foreseen but can not forecast exactly. It is just difficult to forecast the private family car market, i. e. it is the max. variable in automotive mar- ket, the forecast emphasis should be placed in the short-term forecast for 1-2 years when forecasting the demand, the non- linear wt of car market demand in future should be attentioned when selecting the models.
【CateGory Index】: F723
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHOU Xiao-hong(Anhui University of Technology and Science, Wuhu 241000, China);The general evaluating system of the enterprise technical innovation level[J];Journal of Anhui University of Technology and Science;2005-01
2 CHANG Lu (Antai College of Economics & Management of Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200052);Analysis of Consumption Structure Change of Urban Residents in Shanghai[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2007-04
3 WEI Yan-fei et al (School of Resources and Environment Science,Guangxi Normal University,Nanning,Guangxi 530001);Evaluation on Sustainable Development of the Project of County Level Land Arrangements[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2008-20
4 ZHANG Li-ying~1,ZHAO Li-ying~2(1.School of Economics and Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;2.School of Applied Science,University of Science and Technology of Beijing,Beijing 100083,China);Capital Structure Decision-Making Model in Financing of M&A[J];Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University(Social Sciences Edition);2006-04
5 YANG Yong-zhong (College of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China);Analysis on China's Consumption Crux: A Model and Application[J];Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(Social Sciences Edition);2005-01
6 Guo Jianhua (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081) Bai Hua Jiang Yixun(System Engineering Institute, CNGC) Wei Jiangyi(Nanchuan Branch, Chongqing Television University);APPLICATION OF FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION METHOD IN THE COST ESTIMATION OF WEAPON EQUIPMENT DEVELOPMENT[J];Acta Armamentarii;2004-06
7 ZHANG Jie LIU Xiao-ming HE Yu-long CHEN Yong-sheng (Beijing Key Lab of Traffic Engineering,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China);Application of ARIMA Model in Forecasting Traffic Accidents[J];Journal of Beijing University of Technology;2007-12
8 SUN Ting-ting, TANG Wu-xiang (School of Business ,Beijing Institute of Machinery ,Beijing 100085,China);Correlation between the numbers of patents applying and R&D payout of enterprises[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Machinery;2003-04
9 WANG Guo-hong (International Business School, Shanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, Shanxi);Human Capital and Regional Economic Development——An Analysis based on the Comparison Between the Production Function of Guangdong Province and Shanxi Province[J];The Border Economy and Culture;2005-04
10 LIU Ze-yun,YUAN Lian-sheng;An International Comparative Study on the Public Ratio of Investment in Education[J];Comparative Education Review;2007-02
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 HE Ge~(1,2) OU Ming-hao~1 (1.College of Public Management of Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095) (2.College of Economy and Management of Sichuan Agricultural University,Ya'an 615024);Research on Food Security in Sichuan in the Process of Urbanaization[A];[C];2005
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 GUO Lian?jun,LI Lian?hua(Dept. of Civil & Communication Engineering,Anshan Institute of I.& S.Technology,Anshan 114002,China);Analysis of Prediction Methods on National Vehicles Possessing Capacity[J];JOURNAL OF ANSHAN INSTITUTE OF IRON AND STEEL TECHNOLOGY;2000-01
2 HUANG Xiao-Lan,SHEN Hao(Beijing Broadcasting Institute, Beijing 100024, China);Application of Conjoint Analysis in Marketing[J];Journal of Beijing Broadcasting Institute;2002-01
3 Huang Xiao-lan Shen Hao (Beijing Broadcasting Institute, Beijing 100024, China);Application of Discrete Choice Model in Marketing Research[J];Journal of Beijing Broadcasting Institute;2002-04
4 DONG Jia-wei,WANG Fang-hua (Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai,200030,China);Study on Lowering Price in Different Product Markets Based on Discrete Choice Model[J];Commercial Research;2004-15
5 LIU Bo;On Dynamic Evaluation on Customer Satisfaction[J];Commercial Research;2004-24
6 Xu Changming;The Analysis in 2000 and the Forecast in 2001 on China Automotive Market[J];Auto Industry Research;2001-02
7 Hu Shuhua;Implement State General Strategy Promote Development of China Auto Industry Enterprise[J];Auto Industry Research;2001-07
8 Zhang Naiping;International Comparation of Countermeasures of Automotive Industry Facing to Join WTO[J];Auto Industry Research;2001-07
9 He Shiping;Booming Automotive Industry to Push Economic Development[J];Auto Industry Research;2001-11
10 Hu Shuhua;How to Set up Sales and Marketing System of China Automotive Industry after Joined WTO[J];Auto Industry Research;2002-02
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved