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《Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology》 2005-01
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Economic pre-warning based on self-organization data mining

CHEN Chuan,HE Yue,HE Chang-zheng(College of Commercial Management, SCU, Chengdu 610064, China)  
The methods used in the economic pre-warning are very important and include the index economic pre-warning, statistic economic pre-warning and model economic pre-warning. The ARCH model and the nerval net model are often used in the model economic pre-warning. The self-organization data mining in the economic pre-warning is tried to use. It has the powerful ability of study in the research of the economic pre-warning and can avoid the personal influence when selecting variable of the model. Compared with the nerval net model the self-organization data mining can reflect the influence of the index input to the index output. This helps to analyze the origin of the warning and dissolve it. The results show that the self-organization data mining provides a new method to the model economic pre-warning.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70271073)
【CateGory Index】: F224
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