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《Journal of Changchun University of Science and Technology(Natural Science Edition)》 2008-02
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Study on the integrated GM(1,1) model

MA Ping1,ZHANG Yinhui2,YUE Qiang3,YANG Yinsheng3(1.Food college,Heilongjiang August Frist Land Reclamation University,Daqing 163319;2.Shenzhen Polytechnic Col-lege,Shenzhen 518055;3.College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering,Jilin University,Changchun 130022)  
The structure principle of GM(1,1) was ananlyzed,the initial value and the background value was pointed out as GM(1,1) model key.Based on the principle of the Least squares method and GM(1,1) model traditional prognostic for-mula,the paper has built the new initial value,and has established the new background value formula using GM(1,1) model modelling condition,then the paper has made a improvement to GM(1,1) model,established both the adapted low growth index series model,and the adapted high growth index series GM(1,1) model.the example computed result indi-cated that the integrated GM(1,1) model proved the simulation precision and the adaptation scope.the paper gives new way to improve the prediction accuracy and the application scope.
【Fund】: 吉林省教育厅科技计划资助项目
【CateGory Index】: F224
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