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《Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute》 2007-02
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Joint Analysis of Peak and Volume Based on Bivariate Distribution

XIAO Yi,GUO Sheng-lian,LIU Pan,XIONG Li-hua,FANG Bin(State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)  
The Gumbel logistic model is used to describe the dependent structure between the flood peak and flood volume and a bivariate joint distribution of peak-volume using PDS sample approach is developed.Based on the derived bivariate distribution,the approaches for calculating conditional frequency and bivariate return period are presented.The Geheyan reservoir is selected as a case study.The assumption that the peak and volume adopt a same frequency in design flood hydrograph is discussed through the conditional frequency of flood volume given flood peak exceeding a flood quantity with a specified frequency.The bivariate return periods of design values for peak and volume in pairs derived from univariate distribution respectively are estimated.The results of the study show that the assumption is not considered to be very conservative but rational in a certain extent.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(5067906350609017);; 霍英东青年教师基金资助项目(101077)
【CateGory Index】: TV122.5
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