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《Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin》 2010-07
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SPATIAL INTERPOLATION METHODS AND TEMPORAL-SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR AREA

WU Chang-guang1,LIN De-sheng1,ZHOU Zhi-xiang1,WANG Peng-cheng1,2,XIAO Wen-fa2,TENG Ming-jun1 (1.College of Horticulture and Forestry,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070,China;2.Research Institute of Forest Ecology Environment and Protection,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,China)  
It is important for studying the temporal-spatial characteristics of precipitation in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area because of its special geographical position in China.In this paper,Inverse Distance Weighted,Spline,Ordinary Kriging and Co-Krigings methods were respectively employed to interpolate the annual and monthly average precipitation of 46 weather stations in and around the Three Gorges Reservoir Area from 1961~2005.Then the results of the four interpolators were assessed under cross validation,and the temporal-spatial distribution of precipitation was analyzed.The validating criterions indicated that the Co-Kriging which taken into account the elevation,performed better than the other three methods.However,based on the analysis of station error,we found that this method couldn't guarantee the error of all stations less than other methods.It showed that the precision of Co-Kriging interpolator would increase,when two weather stations at high elevation were eliminated.Through analyzing the temporal-spatial distribution of precipitation in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,the annual average precipitation is 1000~1200 mm in most area,and more than 45% of the annual precipitation concentrated in the summer.
【Fund】: 国家科技支撑计划(2006BAD03A1301 2006BAD03A0710);; 长江三峡库区(秭归)森林生态定位站项目资助
【CateGory Index】: P426.613
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