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《Pratacultural Science》 2001-03
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Meteorological conditions and forecast model of grass biomass in alpine meadow grassland at Tianzhu, Gansu province, China

Liu Ming chun 1, Ma Xing xiang 1, Yin Dong 2, Zhang Hui ling 1 (1. Wuwei Meterological Bureau of Gansu Province, Wuwei 733000, China; 2. Lanzhou Arid Meterological Institute, Lanzhou 730020, China)  
The results of analysing the meterological and grass biomass yield from 1956~1995 and 1985~1995, respectively, quantity of heat and water are two main factors which affect grass biomass. Using method of integral regression, effect of varying amounts per factor on annual yield and period of positive or negative effect during each growing stage of grasses were given. Meanwhile, using method of stepwise regression, climate model of grass biomass yield were determined by forecast factors of temperature and precipitation. The forecast error was between 6% and 15%.
【Key Words】: grass biomass yield growing stage meterological conditions forecast model
【CateGory Index】: S812.1
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