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《Journal of Changzhou Institute of Technology》 2009-Z1
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The Designing of Establishing Modeling Simulation and Forecasting Methods for Short-term Solar Irradiance Based on Time-scale

XU Wei(School of Electronic Information & Electric Engineering,Changzhou Institute of Technology,Changzhou 213002)  
With an introduction of the model of the sun shine,and its character,this paper studies the time-series model of short-term solar irradiance,and establishes modeling,simulation and forecasting methods for short-term solar irradiance model.It develops 4 time-scale ARMA models,and verifies that ARMA model can accurately represent the correlation existing in short-term solar irradiance time series.
【CateGory Index】: P422.1
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