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《Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science)》 2010-06
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On the Interaction Mechanism of Urbanization and Industrial Structure Evolution in Northeast China

DAI Yong-an,CHEN Cai(College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,China)  
The relation between urbanization and industrial structure is interactive and interdependent.The latter's optimization and upgrading will stimulate the former and the former's rapid development will lead the latter to be adjusted uninterruptedly.Discussing the interactive mechanism between urbanization process and industrial structure evolution,the characteristics of the Northeast China in their interaction course from 1952 to 2007 was analyzed.Then,the long-term mechanism involving the urbanization,industrialization and tertiary industry was investigated by the method of co-integration analysis and error correction model,as well as the causal relation between the three factors.The results showed that in Northeast China the impetus given by the tertiary industry development to urbanization far exceeds the industrial sectors,with a long-term stable relationship found in between the three factors.The results of Granger causality test also showed that there is no enough support given to the hypothesis that the evolution of industrial structure stimulates the urbanization but to the hypothesis that the urbanization plays an important role in industrial structure evolution.
【Fund】: 国家科技基础性工作专项资助项目(2007FY110300)
【CateGory Index】: F299.21
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