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《Northeast Asia Forum》 2009-03
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The Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Variability on Foreign Trade of Jilin Province of China

XIANG Wei-xingA LI JunB (A Center for China Public Sector Economy Research in Jilin University,Changchun,130012;B School of Economics,Jilin University,Changchun Jilin 130012,China)  
Since the reform of RMB exchange rate system,volatility of RMB exchange rate has increased significantly,and RMB exchange rate has appreciated continuously.Affected by this,China's foreign trade growth rate slows markedly;while at the same time,Jilin Province has accelerated growth in foreign trade,which has been quite different from the overall situation of the country.Through cointegration and error correction model,this paper analyzes RMB exchange rate variability and Jilin province foreign trade empirically,and gets the relationship between them.It indicates that: in long term,RMB exchange rate variability cannot impact exports of Jilin Province significantly,but the impact can be significant on imports;in short-term,RMB exchange rate variability affects little on Jilin foreign trade.
【Fund】: 科技部国家软科学研究项目“中美经济关系的失衡与中国经济发展的战略转变”(2006GXQ3D132);; 吉林大学哲学社会科学研究精品项目“中美经济关系的本质:一个全球化视角的分析”(2006JP08)
【CateGory Index】: F832.6
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