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《Seismological Research of Northeast China》 2008-03
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ANALYSIS OF SEISMIC TENDENCY BY MATH MODELING IN NORTHEAST CHINA AREA

XUE Ding(Seismological Bureau of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,Hohhot 010010,China)  
In the paper,according to the structure devision result of active block boundany and seis-mic area,using MAPSIS software,the author selects the earthquake Ms≥4.7 data of Northeast China area.This data may have the characteristic of one geology unit.Using the 19-order non-linear math poly-nomial which coefficent parameters can be obtained by method of least square;The author made optimum approaches to data by fitting,and made a prediction of seismic tendency in 1-2 year's time.This provides a mathematical model prediction method to describe the rule of seismic tendency in Northeast China area
【CateGory Index】: P315.75
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