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《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 1982-03
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SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS OF THE ERTAN DAM SITE

Zhang Zaiyong and Chen Dasheng (Institute of Engineering Mechanics, Academia Sinica)  
Seismic hazard analysis of the Ertan dam site based on fault-rupture model developed by A. Der Kiureghian and A. H-S. Arg is presented in the paper. The statistical data of fault rupture length and intensity attenuation analyzed from historical earthquakes of this region are used.The probability of earthquakes that might be expected to occur in that region within a specified time interval is not indicated in the current earthquake intensity zoning map of China, and macroscopic intensity is used as a measure. At the present time, as an initial improvement for the current earthquake zoning map, in this paper seismic hazard is defined as the probability of the maximum seismic intensity at a given site which will exceed a specified level of intensity within a specified interval.
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