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《Earthquake》 1993-06
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APPLICATION OF INFORMATION SYNTHESIS INTEGRATION METHOD IN SHORT-TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

Li Wenying Hu Xinliang Zhang Qingrong Ping Jianjun(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province)  
This paper regarded the seismogenic process of earthquakes as a complicate system. With development of seismogenic process, the system was developed from the equibrium state towards the direction far from the equibrium state, its instability increases and approaches to the destabilized state. In this period, a number of precursors occurred and developed, the complexity increased. The paper used the information integration method in the systematic science to analyze the precursory. anomalies and determined, the comprehensive criteria for the anomalies. The probability synthesis of the united system parameters, information entropy and the ordereddegree are used as the transitional mark from steady state to non-steady state. The results show that the anomalies analyzed by using the information synthesis integration method could reflect that the seismogenic process had developed "into the short-term stage. Therefore, this method provides a reliable basis for the short-term earthquake prediction and it is of "practical significance.
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
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【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 YAO Yu-chun1,2,YAO Ling-kan2,YUAN Bi-yu31.The Second Railway Survey & Design Institute,Chengdu 610031,China;2.School of Civil Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China;3.University of Chengdu Information Technology,Chengdu 610103,China;Self-organization characteristics of a cut slope and its disaster prevention[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2007-01
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【Secondary Citations】
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