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《Earthquake》 2001-01
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B value of the seismically active and quiescent periods and research of seismicty tendency in china's continent

CHEN Xue zhong, LU Xiao jian, WANG Hui min (Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China)  
B values of five seismically active periods and four seismically quiescent in China's continent are calculated. The results show that the b value of the seismically active period is obviously lower than that of the seismically quiescent period. The b value of the seismically active period is between 0.72 and 0.76, and that of the seismically quiescent is in the range from 0.86 to 1.06. The mean of b value of the seismically active and quiescent periods is 0.75 and 0.97 respectively. Up to March 2000, the b value of the fifth seismically active period is 0.87, between the mean of b value of the seismically active period and that of seismically quiescent period, and is obviously higher than that of the seismically active period. Therefore, the fifth seismically active period beginning in 1988 in China's continent might not end yet, there could be some stronger earthquakes with M≥7.0 occurring in the future.
【CateGory Index】: P315.5
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