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《Crustal Deformation and Earthquake》 2001-01
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INTEGRATED RESEARCH ON CURRENT CRUSTAL MOVEMENT AND EARTHQUAKE DYNAMICS IN MARGINAL SEA,SOUTHEAST OF CHINA CONTINENT

Zhou Suoyu, Wu Yun, Shi Shunying and Yang Fuping (Institute of Seismology,CSB,Wuhan 430071)  
In order to study quantitatively the current regional crustal movement and dynamics and the earthquake risk in southeast marginal sea of China continent under the background of southeast Asian dynamics and west pacific dynamics,on the basis of four different scale GPS survey results of the Fujian Taibei net,China continent net,Taiwan Luzon(Philippine) net and the IGS net in east Asian and west Pacific from 1994 to 1998,combining the results of the source mechanism of strong earthquake in recent hundred years,the crossing fault deformation net in recent two decades, the precise leveling net,the laser ranging net and the original stress surveying net and the numerical simulation of geophysics and geology achievement,through the analysis of the multi layer tectonic movement,the verification of different science results with each other and the integrated research,we have obtained following results:1)There are two different crustal movements at the same time in studying region,one moving to sea from continent and the other moving to the continent from sea;the velocity of the marginal sea in southeast of continent moving to the southeast is 11-12 mm/a and to northwest is 3 mm/a,the velocity of the east coast of Taiwan moving to northwest is 53 mm/a.2)There may be a right lateral movement in Taiwan,its rotating axis is near the 24°N.3)The main compression stress direction of regional stress field from GPS and surface deformation survey is NW(NWW),which is consist with the results from the seismology and geology in different time scale.4)The survey and numerical simulation proved that the integrated force of the India block and the Philippine block to the Eurasia block lead to the crustal movement as described before,the velocity of the crustal movement come from the former is four times as large as that from the later,but the first only produced an uniform field,the later produced an inhomogeneous field which can generate deformation localization and provide the energy for the strong earthquake preparation.5)The comression and obduction to Eurasia block from Philippine block at the east of Taiwan is the most direct force sorce:from east Taiwan zone to west Taiwan zone,to outside zone of southeast coast zone,to inside zone of southeast coast zone,the crustal deformation and the activity of earthquake decrease by degrees synchronously.6)With the fault from Quanzhou bay to Yongan as the boundary,many current crustal movements in two sides take on remarkable regional diversity,which may have relation to the additional effect of the right lateral movement of Taiwan to continent.7)Although the most energy has been consumed at the east of Taiwan when the Philippine block moving to the west and Taiwan protects southeast coast,but with the slowly energy accumulation,this region still has the possibility of occurrence of M≥6 earthquake,particularly, we should pay attention to the sea board of Quanzhou Shantou.
【Fund】: 家自然料学基金项目!( 4 0 0 74 0 2 4和 4 9674 2 2 4 )、;; 地震科学联合基金重点项目“GPS结果的运动学、动力学解释和地震预测模式研
【CateGory Index】: P541
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