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《Journal of Dalian Maritime University》 2003-01
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Study on fluctuation of Baltic Freight Index

LU Jing,CHEN Qinghui(Transportation Management College, Dalian Maritime Univ., Dalian 116026,China)  
In this paper, a null means stationary series is reached which matched ARMA model after removing the longterm tendency, cyclical fluctuating and seasonal fluctuating one by one from Baltic Freight Index. The staked model made up of the ARMA model set up from this series and all the equations of each removed element very precisely modulated Baltic Freight Index, and a shortterm prediction with tiny error has been made.
【CateGory Index】: F551
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