Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Scientia Geographica Sinica》 2002-02
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Grey-stochastic Risk Assessment Method for River Water Quality

HU Guo hua 1 , Xia Jun 2 , ZHAO Pei lun 3 (1.College of Land & Resources, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, Hunan 410081; 2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101; 3. Institute of Water Resourc  
The river water environment system is a system with many uncertainties. The risk assessment quantifying the influence of uncertainties on river water quality have been paid attention to widely. However, the most of research on risk assessment for river water quality confined to quantify stochastic uncertainty of the river water environmental system using the method of statistics. The research on quantifying the risk due to grey uncertainty of the river water environmental system is done less. Based on the theory of probability and grey system approach, the concepts of grey probability, grey probability distribution, grey probability density, grey expectation and grey variance are defined in this paper. The concept of grey stochastic risk for water quality concentrations exceeding the standard values is presented to quantify the influence of stochastic uncertainty and grey uncertainty on river water quality. The assessment models of grey stochastic risk for water quality concentrations exceeding the standard values are established. In the assessment model for the individual parameter, the contaminant concentration is modeled as a random variable with a grey probability distribution and the risk for contaminant concentration exceeding the standard value is expressed with grey probability-the grey stochastic risk for water quality concentrations exceeding the standard values. In the model of comprehensive assessment for multiple parameters, the river water environmental system is considered as the reliability system to undertake useful function, and the result that the concentration of anyone of water quality parameters exceeds the standard value shows that the useful function of river water environmental system cannot be guaranteed. Lastly, the comprehensive risks for water quality concentrations exceeding the standard values are computed by using the approach of reliability system. An example of application to evaluate the grey stochastic risks for heavy metals concentrations exceeding the standard values in the Yellow River at the Huayuankou section is given. The results provide more information and are satisfactory.
【CateGory Index】: X824
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 LI Ru-Zhong~(1,2), QIAN Jia-Zhong~1,WANG Jia-Quan~1 (1.School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui 230009; 2. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210098);Study on Theory and Methodology for Unascertained Risk Analysis of River Water Quality[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2004-02
2 ZHANG Ming1,2,JIN Ju-Liang1, ZHANG Li-Bing1(1.College of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei,Anhui 230009;2.College of Water Resources and Environment,Hohai University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210098);Pursuit Projection Evaluation Model Based on Principle of Maximum Entropy for River Basin Sustainability Evaluation[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2007-02
3 LI Xing1,2,LI Changyou1,FENG Shaoyuan2,ZHANG Sheng1,LI Weiping1(1.The College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering,Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Huhhot 010018,P.R.China;2.Centre for Agricultural Water Research in China,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,P.R.China);Analysis of lake water quality risk based on stochastic method[J];Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment;2009-05
4 LIU Jian-chang~1,ZHANG Wei~1,WANG Li-min~2,LI Dai-qing~1,FAN Xiu-ying~1,DENG Hong-bing~1(1.State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology,Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100085,China;2.Baoding Investigation and Design Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydropower,Baoding 071000,China);Impact of Water Pollution Risk in Water Transfer Project Based on Fault Tree Analysis[J];Environmental Science;2009-09
5 REN Jian1,2,GAO Yang1(1.School of Business,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China;2.Normal School of Science Technology,Hunan Agriculture University,Changsha 410128,China);Grey-stochastic multi-criterion decision-making method based on extended operator[J];Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems;2010-02
6 LI Xing1,GOU Mang-mang2,WANG Yong1(1.Inner Mongolia Engineering Research Center for Water-saving Agriculture,Inner Mongolia Normal University,Hohhot 010022,China;2.Institute of Water Conservancy Science Inner Mongolia Municipality,Hohhot 010020,China);Analysis on the Exceeding the Risk Ratio of Mouth Water Quality for Wuliangsuhai Lake in Inner Mongolia[J];Journal of Agro-Environment Science;2011-08
7 ZUO Yeying;XU Xiaotian;Research Institute of Environmental Scientific Technology of Luohe City;;Research Progress of the Sustainability of City Water System[J];Environment and Sustainable Development;2014-05
8 JIANG Qiu-xiang;FU Qiang;GONG Fan-li;WANG Zi-long;College of Water Conservancy and Architecture,Northeast Agricultural University;Postdoctoral Mobile Research Station of Agricultural and Forestry Economy Management,Northeast Agricultural University;;Progress and prospect of study on risk assessment of water resources system[J];Water Sciences and Engineering Technology;2015-01
9 GU Wen-quan,SHAO Dong-guo (State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China);Risk analysis of river water quality with incomplete data[J];Advances in Water Science;2012-01
10 Liang Xiaojun,Lou Zhanghua,Xu Yueping,Wang Cuibai,Qu Guodong;Analysis of comprehensive benefits of city water diversion and distribution system in Hangzhou[J];China Water Resources;2012-06
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 Ma Xiaoying, Wang Huadong (Institute of Environmental Science, Beijing Normal University);A NEW APPROACH TO WATER QUALITY ASSESSMENT[J];Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae;1987-01
2 Deng Bo, Qin Jianhou, Li Longdi (Department of Chemistry, Tsinghua University, Beijing);FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION FOR WATER QUALITY[J];Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae;1990-02
3 Feng Yuguo(No. 3 Team of Shandong Geological Survey Bureau,Ministry of Metallurgical Industry,Yantai 264002);A COMPREHENSIVE METHOD FOR EVALUATING WATER ENVIRONMENTAL OUALITY[J];ACTA SCIENTIAE CIRCUMSTANTIAE;1994-04
4 Zhang Qingfeng (Tsinghua University);A stochastic model for water-quality assessment[J];Journal of Hydraulic Engineering;1992-10
5 Chen Xiaohong\ Tu Xinjun(Zhongshan University);CSPPC model for risk rate of pollutant concentrations exceeding the standard values[J];JOURNAL OF HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING;1999-12
6 HU Guo\|hua 1, XIA Jun 2 (1 Hunan Normal University, Changsha\ 410081, China;2 Wuhan University, Wuhan\ 430072,China);Grey\|stochastic risk method for risk analysis[J];Journal of Hydraulic Engineering;2001-04
7 Xia Jun(Wuhan University of Hydrauiie&hlectrie Engineering);Grey Associative A nalvsis Method Used for WaterQuality Asscssment in A Region[J];HYDROLOGY;1995-02
8 Zeng Guangming,Zhuo Li,Zhong Zhenglin,Zeng Beiwei(Environmental Protection Research Institute,Hunan University,Changsha 410082);Gordon G.H.Huang(Faculty of Engineering,University of Regina,Canada s4s 0A2);Li Xinmin(Department of Monitoring and Supervision,State Environmental Protection Administration,Beijing 100035).;Assessment model about the accident water environment risk modeling of the toxicant accident leakage.[J];China Environmental Science;1998-05
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 XU Xiao-yi,SUN Shi-qun,CHU Wei,GAN Hao(Resource & Environment College,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China);The Assessment of Nourishment Lakes on Grey Sitiation Decision Method[J];Anhui Chemical Industry;2007-05
2 Li Ruzhong(School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009);ESTABLISHMENT AND APPLICATION OF GREY ASSOCIATIVE MODEL FOR WATER QUALITY COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2002-01
3 REN Zhao-yang et al (Urban Construction and Environmental Engineering College,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044);Application of Two-dimensional Water Quality Model in Calculation of Pollution Zone[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2007-07
4 YANG Xiao-mei et al (Key Laboratory for Water Conservation and Desertification Control of Ministry of Education,School of Soil and Water Conservation,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083);Research on Quality of Typical Rainfall-Runoff Water in Jinyun Mountain[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-25
5 HU Guo\|hua\+\{1,2\},\ XIA Jun\+2 (1. College of Resources and Environmental Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha Hunan 410081; China 2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China);Quantification Method for Level of Non-sudden Environmental Risk Based on Grey Probability[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2002-04
6 Peng Wangminzi(College of Oceanography and Environmental Science of Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,China);Review of the Methods of Environmental Risk Assessment in Different Levels[J];Environmental Science and Management;2009-07
7 CHEN Jingsheng YU Tao(College of Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871);Effects of the Suspended Sediment on the Water Quality in the Yellow River[J];Acta Scicentiarum Naturalum Universitis Pekinesis;2005-06
8 Pang Liping Wang Jun (School of Aeronautic Science and Technology, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China);Grey relational analysis of fuzzy comprehesive evaluation of air quality in manned spacecraft[J];Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;2005-05
9 Wang Hongrui; Yan Wujiu (Institute of Environmental Science, Beijing Normal University, 100875, Beijing, China;)(Department of Geography, Anhui Normal University, 241000, Wuhu, Anhui, China);STUDY ON FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION-GREY RELATIONAL PREPONDERANCED ANALYSIS COMPLEX MODEL OF ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY[J];JOURNAL OF BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY(NATURAL SCIENCE);1997-04
10 Hao Jumin;Lin Yan;A New Model of Pattern Recognition and Its Application on Evaluating Ship Loading Conditions[J];Ship Engineering;1998-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 Yonghong Hao~1 Xin Du~2 Wei Wang~3 Xuemeng Wang~4 1) Key Laboratory of Water Environment and Water Resources,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin 300387 2)School of Environment and Resources,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006 3)Institute of Loess Plateau,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006 4) Institute of Integrated Survey for Agriculture Resources of Shanxi,Taiyuan 030006;Modeling hydrological processes of karst groundwater using grey system model[A];[C];2008
2 ZHANG Fang-xiu~(1,2) WANG Yan-ping~2 LIU Xing-sheng~3 HAN Long-xi~1 (1.College of Environment Science and Engineering,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China; 2.Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research,Zhengzhou 450003,China; 3.Taihu Gate and Station Project of Wuxi city,Wuxi 214073,China);Numerical model for the sudden pollution accident in the lower of the Yellow River[A];[C];2007
3 LIU Yan-qiong, SHEN Yong-ping, CHEN Ying-wu (System Engineering Institute Humanity and Management SchoolNational University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073);Reviewing and Commenting on the Methods of Risk Assessment[A];[C];2004
4 SHANGGUAN Xiao-ya 1 , HONG Yu 1* , HU Hong-ying 2,3 (1.College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China;2.Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control State Key Joint Laboratory, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; 3. Graduate School at Shenzhen, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen 518055, China);Effects of Degraded liquid from Fraxinus chinensis Defoliation on the Growth Characteristics of Microcystis aeruginosa[A];[C];2013
5 CHEN Jianming;WANG Xuemeng;HUO Xueli;ZHANG Mingkun;ZHONG Yu;HAO Yonghong;College of Urban and Environmental,Tianjin Normal University;Institute of Agriculture Resources of Shanxi Province;College of Mathematical Science, ,Tianjin Normal University;Key Laboratory for Water Environment and Water Resources,Tianjin Normal University;;Analysis of the causes of karst groundwater attenuation Xin Anquan domain[A];[C];2014
6 CHEN Zhi-mei;YU Xing-guang;CHEN Ke-liang;WU Hai-yan;Island Research Center,SOA;The Third Institute of Oceanography,SOA;;Integrated eco-risk assessment based on multilevel fuzzy pattern recognition model in Luoyuan Bay[A];[C];2014
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 LIU Yi,WANG Yue-ming (Southwest University of Science and Technology,Mianyang 621010,China);The study of construction claims of our country at present[J];Sichuan Building Science;2006-03
2 LI Zheng-long (College of Management,Shanghai University of Engineering Science,Shanghai 200336,China);The consistency condition of decision for different decision criterion in risk decision[J];Journal of Anhui University(Natural Sciences);2005-04
3 Li Ruzhong(School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009);ESTABLISHMENT AND APPLICATION OF GREY ASSOCIATIVE MODEL FOR WATER QUALITY COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2002-01
4 ZHANG Jun et al (College of Resoucrs and Environmental Sciences,Gansu Agricultural University,Lanzhou,Gansu 730070);Study on the Present Condition of the Water Quality and the Pollution Trend in the Lanzhou Section of the Yellow River[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2008-18
5 HUANG Chu-long et al(School of Resources and Environmental Sciences,Quanzhou Normal University,Quanzhou,Fujian 362000);Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation on the Sustainable Utilization of Regional Agricultural Water Resources[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-05
6 SHI Li-zhong et al (Shenyang University,Shenyang,Liaoning 110044);Dynamic Evaluation on Water Resource of Shenyang City by Applying Fuzzy Integrative Evaluation Method[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-23
7 HAN Yu-ping et al (North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,Zhengzhou,Henan 450011);Comprehensive Evaluation of Regional Water Resources Shortage Risk Based on the Maximum Entropy Principle[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-01
8 HU Xiao-yu et al(Hohai University,National Key Laboratory for Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210098);Research on Fuzzy Integrated Evaluation Model Based on Projection Tracing and Its Application[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-11
9 XIAO Ci ying 1, RUAN Hong hua 2, LIU Deng yi 1, HUANG Qing chun 2 (1. College of Life Science, Anhui Normal University, 241000, Wuhu, Anhui, China;2. College of Forest and Environment, Nanjing Forest University, 210037,Nanjing, Jiangsu, China;RESEARCH ON BUFFER CAPACITY OF THE SOIL TO SIMULATED ACID-RAIN IN CHINA FIR FOREST[J];Journal of Anhui Normal University(Natural Science);2000-04
10 ZHANG Wu & YU De-ming (Civil and Architecture College, Central South University, Changsha 410075, China);A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE SPILLAGE HAZARDS IN THE GAS TANK STORAGE AREAS[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2002-01
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 CHEN Jian-qiu, ZHANG Xin-zheng (Guangdong University of Technology. Guangzhou 510080, China; Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510405, China.;Water Quality Forecasting Method Based on Wavelet Neural Network[A];[C];2006
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 GAO Su-di,LI Ru-zhong(School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China);On fuzzy linear regression model for river water quality forecast[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture & Industry(Natural Science);2007-02
2 LI Er-ping1,2,YOU Hong1,LIU Bao-ling1,FENG Yu-jie1(1 State Key Laboratory of Urban Water Resource and Environment,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150090,China;2 Biomass Energy Technology Engineering Centre,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China);Construction of real-time hazards evaluation for trans-boundary sudden water pollution accidents[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2012-02
3 Zhang Jinping1,2, Qin Yaochen1 , Zhang Erxun2 1. College of Environment and Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng Henan 475001, China; 2. College of Environment and Planning, Liaocheng University, Liaocheng Shandong 252059, China;Review on Quantitative Research Methods of Regional Sustainable Development in China[J];中国人口·资源与环境(英文版);2010-03
4 YE Xin1,2,ZHOU Hua-kun1,ZHAO Xin-quan1,WEN Jun1,2,CHEN Zhe1,2,DUAN Ji-chuang1,2(1.Northwest Institute of Plateau Biology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Qinghai Xining 810008,China;2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China);Review on grassland ecosystem health[J];Pratacultural Science;2011-04
5 CHEN Wen-yan,ZHU Lin,WANG Wen-tao;Present condition and development trend of dam safety monitoring technologies[J];Electric Power Environmental Protection;2009-06
6 LI Ru-Zhong,QIAN Jia-Zhong(School of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei,Anhui 230009);Unascertained Risk Analysis of Groundwater Level Drop[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2005-05
7 TAO Yang1,TANG Guo-an1,WANG Chun1,2,ZHU Shi-jie1,YANG Xin1(1.Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment of Ministry of Education,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210046;2.Land Information Engineering Department,Chuzhou University,Chuzhou,Anhui 239000);Uncertainty of Terrain Information Content Based on Grid DEM[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2010-03
8 WANG Zhe-sun1,JIN Ju-liang1,WEI Yi-ming2,WANG Zong-zhi3,ZHOU Yu-liang1 (1.School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei,Anhui 230009,China;2.School of Management and Economic,Beijing Institute of Technology,China,Beijing 100081,China;3.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210029,China);Application of Accelerating Genetic Algorithm to Parameter Estimation of Muskingum Flood Routing Model[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2010-06
9 ZHANG Bingda,WANG Jing(Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China);Power quality evaluation based on entropy principles[J];Electric Power Automation Equipment;2009-10
10 LI Na1,WANG La-chun1,XIE Gang2,WEI Ya-nan2,LENG Hui1(1.School of Geography and Ocean Science,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China; 2.Shandong Academy of Environmental Science,Jinan 250013,China);Gray Predication on Water Quality Tendency of Rivers in Huaihe Catchment Area of Shandong Province[J];Environmental Science & Technology;2012-02
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 LIU Shan-yun,SHE Lian(Center for Public Safty Early Warning Management Research,HuazhongUniversity of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China);Research on Factors Influencing Public Security Incident of Water Pollution Based on Interpretative Structural Modeling and Fault Tree Analysis[A];[C];2011
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Chen Shouyu (The Research Section of Water Resources, D. I. T);The Principle and Method of Fuzzy Sets on the Assessment of Water Quality[J];;1987-01
2 Chen Shouyu (Dept.of Civil Engineering, DUT);Fuzzy Hydrology[J];Journal of Dalian University of Technology;1988-03
3 Zhong Zhenglin Zeng Guangming Zhou Li Zhang Panyue (Dept.of Environ.Eng.Hunan University,Changsha,410082);MARKOV PROCESS APPLIED TO PREDICTION FOR RIVER COMPREHENSIVE WATER QUALITY[J];ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING;1997-02
4 Zhong Zhenglin Zeng Guangming Yang Chunping (Hunan University, Changsha 410082);THE DEVELOPMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT RESEARCH[J];;1996-06
5 Wang Lizhong Chen Zhenfu Lu Yongsen(National Key Lab.of Pollution Control and Resources Reuse,Environ.Eng.School Tongji University,Shanghai 200092);PROGRESS OF ACCIDENTAL POLLUTION RISK MANAGEMENT[J];;1998-03
6 Zhou Enyi et al. (Department of Applied Chemistry, Dalian Institute of Railway Tech-;Risk Assessment Method for Potentially Environmental Pollution Accidents Caused by Hazardous Gases.[J];Environmental Science;1993-04
7 Cheng Shengtong and Zeng Weihua (Dept. of Environ. Eng. , Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084) :;Tentative Approach to the Principles and Features of Environmental Disasters.[J];Environmental Sciences;1996-05
8 Li Zuoyong, Zhao Bangjie (Chengdu Meteorological Institute);A METHOD OF COMPREHENSIVE ENVIRONMENTALQUALITY ASSESSMENT FOR REGIONAL ENVIRONMENT-ONE OF FUZZY PROBABILITY[J];Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae;1984-03
9 Deng Bo, Qin Jianhou, Li Longdi (Department of Chemistry, Tsinghua University, Beijing);FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION FOR WATER QUALITY[J];Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae;1990-02
10 Zhong Zhenglin Zeng Guangming Yang Chunping Xie Gengxing (Dept of Environmental Engineering,Hunan Univ,410082, Changsha, P R China);Random Theory Applied to Environmental Impact Risk Assessment[J];JOURNAL OF HUNAN UNIVERSITY(NATURNAL SCIENCES);1997-01
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved