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《Scientia Geographica Sinica》 2006-02
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Stage Potential of Development and Utilization for Water Resources in the Middle Reaches of the Heihe River

ZHANG Kai~1,HAN Yong-Xiang~1,ZHANG Bo~2,HAO Jian-Xiu~2(1.Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou,Gansu 730020;2.Department of Geographic and Environmental Science,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou,Gansu 730070)  
Based on integrative analysis of background of the middle reaches of the Heihe River and presentation of relative conception of potential of development and utilization of the water resources,the paper processes analysis and evaluation about stage potential of development and utilization of the water resources in the middle reaches of the Heihe River by constructing evaluation index system and utilizing fuzzy synthetic judgment method.The results show that exploitation potential of water resources is situated in a transition phase and keep uptrend and the evaluated value is comparatively great(0.5349),which indicates great potential of water resources exploitation.The exploitation potential of Ganzhou region is the most in the middle reaches of the Heihe River,and Shandan County is the least.The evaluated result can provide a scientific reference and knowledge management for sustainable development of water resources in the middle reaches of the Heihe River.Therefore,the evaluation to stage potential of development and utilization of the water resources in the middle reaches of the Heihe River has a theoretical and realistic significance.
【Fund】: 西部开发科技行动重大项目(2004BA901A16);; 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所科研启动项目
【CateGory Index】: TV213.9
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