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《Scientia Geographica Sinica》 2009-05
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Influence of Climate Warming to Agricultural Production in Hexi Corridor——A Case Study in Shiyang River Basin

LIU Ming-chun1,2,ZHANG Qiang1,DENG Zhen-yong1,WANG Run-yuan1,CHEN Long-quan2,JIANG Ju-fang2 (1.Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Provice,Key Open Laboratory of Arid Change and Disaster Reducing of China Meteorological Administration,Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou,Gansu 730020;2.Agriculture Station of Wuwei Meteorological Bureau City of Gansu Provice,Wuwei,Gansu 733000)  
Based on the 47-year meteorological observation data of the Shiyang River basin in 3 meteorological stations and 37-year crop growth data of agriculture station of Wuwei,the change of agricultural meteorology,hydrological characteristics as well as their effects of crop growth and yield were discussed.By climate warming effecting,≥10℃accumulated temperature assumed increase tread stages of years,which linearity tendency rate were 99.0、105.7、115.8℃·10a-1 of upper 、middle 、down stream.The climate drought index assumed accretion tread stages of years of the rive basin.The upper stream warming and drying was the most obvious.The volume of inflow assumed decrease tread stages of years of the rive basin,which linearity tendency rate were 0.50.5 a hundred million m3·10a-1.The contradiction of agricultural using water was even more protruded.The warming crop area was increasing.The cooling crop area was decreasing.The grow process of crop was accelerated.The occurrence time was ahead.The interval days of Planting-Three leaves、Jointing-Heading were shorten 4d、7d to 80s.The days of Flowering-Ripening weren't obvious change.The temperature was main factor effected crop yield.The negative effect stages of wheat yield were Seeding stage and Milking stage.The positive effect stage was Jointing-Heading.The whole growth of corn and cotton yield was mainly positive effect.The promote effect of growth later was even more obvious.It was safe to disease path eggs live through the winter,which base was increasing.The disease reproducing and growth time were ahead,.Its occurrence generation number was increasing and harm time was longer.The harm assumed aggravated tread stages of years.
【Fund】: 公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200806021)资助
【CateGory Index】: P467
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7 SHI Ya feng 1, SHEN Yong ping 1, HU Ru ji 2(1.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China; 2. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Scie;Preliminary Study on Signal, Impact and Foreground of Climatic Shift from Warm-Dry to Warm-Humid in Northwest China[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2002-03
8 LI Dong liang 1 , WEI Li 1 , CAI Ying 1 , ZHANG Chun jie 2 , FENG Jian ying 2 ,YANG Qing 3 , YUAN Yu jiang 3 , DONG An xiang 2 (1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China;2. Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, Chinese Meteorology Administration, Lanzhou Gansu 730020, China; 3. rümqi Instituteof Desert Meteorology, Chinese Meteorology Administration, rümqi Xinjiang 830002, China);The Present Facts and the Future Tendency of the Climate Change in Northwest China[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2003-02
9 SONG Lian chun 1, 2 , ZHANG Cun jie 2(1. Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing Jiangsu 210044, China; 2. Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou Gansu 730020, China);Changing Features of Precipitation over Nothwest China During the 20th Century[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2003-02
10 ZHANG Cun jie 1, GAO Xue jie 2, ZHAO Hong yan 3 (1. Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou Gansu 730020, China;2. National Climate Center of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;3. Lanzhou Genter Meteorological Observatory, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China);Impact of Global Warming on Autumn Precipitation in Northwest China[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2003-02
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