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《Scientia Geographica Sinica》 2012-03
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Risk Zonation of Cold Disaster Based on GIS: A Case Study of Anhui Province

TANG Wei-an 1,TIAN Hong 1,YANG Yuan-jian 2,LU Yan-yu 1,XU Guang-qing 1,WEN Hua-yang 1,WANG Sheng 1(1.Anhui Province Climate Center,Hefei,Anhui 230031,China;2.Anhui Institute of Meteorological Science,Hefei,Anhui 230031,China)  
Using the meteorological,geographical,agricultural and socio-economical data,the four indexes,including the danger of disaster-causing factors,the sensitivity of disaster-formative environments,the vulnerability of disaster-bearing body and the capability of disaster prevention,were presented and used to analyze the regional difference of cold disaster in Anhui Province based on the natural disaster risk theory.Furthermore,a comprehensive risk index model of cold disaster was constructed to zone the risk of cold disaster in Anhui Province using the above four disaster risk indexes and GIS.Finally,the zonation results were validated by the historical disaster data.The results showed that the cold disaster risk assessment model of Anhui Province was reasonable and objective,and its assessment results were relatively suitable for the fact of clod disaster risk in Anhui Province.Particularly,the high risk zones of cold disaster were mainly located in the northern areas of Anhui Province and the some mountainous areas,and the low risk of cold disaster zones were mainly located near water and cities areas in Anhui Province.Comparing with the historical disaster data,the zonation of cold disaster results were in accordance with the actual distributions.This work provided convincing evidences to assess,prevent and reduce natural cold disaster.
【Fund】: 中国气象局公益性行业专项“全球变化背景下中国气象灾害风险区划研究”(GYHY200906019);; 国家自然科学基金项目(41105080)资助
【CateGory Index】: P208;P429
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