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《Journal of Dalian University of Technology》 2011-02
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Research on project cost performance evaluation method using earned value of risk

LI Rui*1,2,LIU Yu-jun1,2,ZHANG Fan1,2,WANG Ji1,2,DENG Yan-ping1,21.State Key Laboratory of Structural Analysis for Industrial Equipment, Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China;2.Department of Naval Architecture,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China  
Earned value management method is an effective tool of project integrated management.Based on the theory of earned schedule,the problem of earned value distribution is discussed.The problem,which commonly happens during the implementation,is a main reason causing the conservative evaluation results by means of the original method.To solve the problem,the concepts of unexpected earned value and earned value of risk are defined,and the cost performance evaluation method of project is revised.By using the revised method,a more reliable evaluation result of complete cost is proposed in the most life cycles,and the overall forecast accuracy is improved.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70671015)
【CateGory Index】: F224;F285
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