Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA》 2013-04
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Study of the MOS Method Based on Linear Regression for Wind Power Prediction

YANG Hong-ying;FENG Shuang-lei;WANG Bo;WANG Wei-sheng;LIU Chun;Renewable Energy Department,China Electric Power Research Institute;  
The forecasting precision of the output power of wind farm has the direct bearing on the power balance and economic dispatching of the power system.In order to improve the forecasting accuracy of the wind power,the problem of the error analysis for wind power prediction based on model output statistics(MOS)is discussed in this paper.Since the MOS method can update the forecasting deviation automatically,the paper proposes an error correction method for wind power prediction based on linear regression.The off-line experiment with practical history data of wind farm shows that the proposed method has the properties of simple principle,good applicability and high forecasting accuracy,which It has good practical values for engineering application
【Fund】: 国家科技支撑计划重大项目(2011BAA07B06);; 国家973计划(2012CB215101)
【CateGory Index】: TM73;TM614
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 CHI Yong-ning1,LI Qun-ying2 ,LI Yan1 ,WANG Zhen1,SHI Wen-hui1,WANG Yue-feng1(1. China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100192, China;2. Jinlin Electric Power Company, Changchun 130021, China);Power System Operation and Stability Problems Caused by Integration of Large-scale Wind Power and Corresponding Solutions[J];Electrical Equipment;2008-11
2 LIU Dai1,PANG Song-ling2(1.Haikou Power Supply Company,Haikou 570203,China; 2.Hainan Electric Power Test & Research Institute,Haikou 570203,China);System Impacts Analysis for Interconnection of Wind Farm and Power Grid[J];Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Universities for Electric Power System and its Automation;2011-03
3 ;Discussion about Short-term Forecast of Wind Speed on Wind Farm[J];Jilin Electric Power;2005-06
4 Wu Jun Pei Hongqin Shi Ying Zhang Jingying Wang Qinghua (Linyi Meteorological Observatory,Linyi of Shandong 276004);THE FORECASTING OF SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE USING BP-MOS METHOD BASED ON THE NUMERICAL FORECASTING RESULTS[J];Scientia Meteorologica Sinica;2007-04
5 Ding Shisheng(The Institute of Meteorological Science of Jilin Province);THE ADVANCE OF MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS METHOD IN CHINA[J];Acta Meteorologica Sinica;1985-03
6 ZHANG Xiu-nian1,2,CAO Jie1,YANG Shu-yu2,QI Ming-hui2(1.Department of Atmosphere,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China; 2.Yunnan Meteorological Observatory,Kunming 650034,China);Multi-model compositive MOS method application of fine temperature forecast[J];Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences Edition);2011-01
7 YANG Xiu-yuan 1, XIAO Yang2, CHEN Shu-yong 3 (1. Beijing Machinery Industry College, Haidian District, Beijing 100085, China; 2. Northeast China Institute of Electric Power Engineering, Jilin 132012, Jilin Province, China; 3. China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100085, China);WIND SPEED AND GENERATED POWER FORECASTING IN WIND FARM[J];Proceedings of the Csee;2005-11
8 WANG Yao-nan,SUN Chun-shun,LI Xin-ran(College of Electrical and Information Engineering,Hunan University,Changsha 410082,Hunan Province,China);Short-term Wind Speed Simulation Corrected With Field Measured Wind Speed[J];Proceedings of the CSEE;2008-11
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 GE Hong-wei et al (Anqing Meteorological Bureau,Anqing,Anhui 246001);Study on the Correlation between Brown Plant Hopper and Meteorological Element[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2006-17
2 ZENG Qing-jiang et al(Ruian Meteorological Bureau of Zhejiang Province,Ruian,Zhejiang 325200);Analysis and Prediction on Features of Climate Changes of Thunderstorm over Ruian City in the Late 47 Years[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2008-05
3 ZHAO Yan-ling et al(Laibin Meteorological Bureau,Laibin,Guangxi 546100);Analysis on the Forecasting of Frost by Grassland Temperature[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-03
4 YUAN Ye et al(Anhui Weather Modification Office,Hefei,Anhui 230031);Method for Precipitation Identification Based on Radar Product according to Fisher Criteria[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-18
5 LI Yan-lan et al(Guangxi Climate Center,Nanning,Guangxi 530022);Influence of Climate Change on Drought Disaster in Guangxi[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-21
6 WANG Ming-tao et al (Shandong Provincal Weather Bureau of Binzhou City,Binzhou,Shandong 256612 );Analysis of Climate Characteristic of Dry-hot Wind in Binzhou City,Shandong Province[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-23
7 LIU Sheng-mei (Meteorological Bureau of Urumqi,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830002);Preliminary Study on the Precipitation Forecast Method Using True Value Map[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-28
8 ZHENG Guo et al(Key Lab of Plateau Atmospheric and Environmental Research,CUIT,Chengdu,Sichuan 610225);Advances in the Research of Torrential Rain Disaster Assessment[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-03
9 WEI Ying-ying et al(Yancheng Meteorological Bureau,Yancheng,Jiangsu 210005);Summer Precipitation Anomaly and Its Causes in Jiangsu Province[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-03
10 LI Yan-lan et al(Guangxi Climate Center,Nanning,Guangxi 530022);Variation Characteristics of Low Temperature and Rainy Weather during Spring Sowing Period in Guangxi in Recent 50 Years[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-31
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Zhao Yufei,Zhou Zijiang,Zhang Qiang National Meteorological Information Center,Beijing 100081;Difference evaluation of national base stations observation[A];[C];2012
2 ZHOU Xuesong1,2,LI Chao1,2,MA Youjie2,LI Ji1,2,YU Yang2 1.School of Electrical Engineering&Automation,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,P.R.China.2.Tianjin Key Laboratory for Control Theory&Applications in Complicated Systems,Tianjin University of Technology,Tianjin 300384,P.R.China;Application of ADRC in Variable-Speed Constant-Frequency Wind Energy Generation with Doubly-Fed Induction Generators[A];[C];2010
3 LvJingGuo~①,ZhaoXiAn~②,LiuSuiHua~③(①②BeiJing University Of Civil Engineering And Architecture,Beijing,100044,china③Beijing Key Lab of Spatial Information Integration & Its Applications,PekingUniversity,Beijing 100871,china);THE CHARACTERISTICS ANALYSIS OF LANDSURFACE THERMAL SITUATION CHANGES ON TIBET PLATEAU[A];[C];2009
4 1.Lv JingGuo. School of Geography, BeijingNormalUniversity,State key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Beijing,100875,china 2.Zhang Xiaoyong.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing,100101,china 3.Zhang Lixin. School of Geography, BeijingNormalUniversity,State key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Beijing,100875,china 4.Chen zhengchao.Center for Earth Observation and DigitalEarthChineseAcademy of Sciences,Beijing,100190,china;TO STUDY THE RELATIONSHIP OF MICROWAVE VEGETATION PENETRATION INDEX MVI AND OPTICAL VEGETATION INDEX NDVI[A];[C];2009
5 Lijie Qin,Hui Zhang,Ming Li,Shengwei Zong College of Urban and Environmental Science,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,China;Analysis of Drought-flood Spatial-temporal Characteristics Based on Standard Precipitation Index(SPI) in Jilin Province during 1958-2009[A];[C];2010
6 ZHU Feng,ZHOU Wei,SUN Hui (Department of electrical and electronics engineering,Dalian University of technology,Dalian,Liaoning );A NOVEL METHOD FOR HOURLY WIND SPEED FORECASTING BASED ON ANALOGOUS THEORY AND RBF NEURAL NETWORK[A];[C];2008
7 Shao fan,Sun Yu-he,Liang Lan-zhen (1.College of Electrical Engineering,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830008 China) (2.College of Automation,Beijing Union University,Beijing 100101 China);Study on the time-series wind speed forecasting of the wind farm based on time series[A];[C];2008
8 YANG Xiaoliang~(1,2),XU Jianyuan~(1,2),Lin Xin~(1,2) (1.Shenyang University of technology 2.The Key Laboratory of Liaoning Province for Gird disaster prediction and monitoring of power equipment failures,Shenyang,110870);Application of Forecast Model of Principal Component BP neural network in Wind Farm Output[A];[C];2010
9 Li Ran,Ke Yong-qin,Zhang Xiao-qian,Tang Fan (School of Electric Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding,071003,China);Wind Power Forecasting of Wind Farm Based on Time Series and SVM[A];[C];2011
10 DONG Ze,JI Guo-rui,WANG Dong-feng,HAN Pu,XU Da-ping School of Control Science and Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding,Hebei 071003,China;Wind speed forecasting error compensation based on confidence machine in wind farm[A];[C];2008
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHANG Kai-ming(Department of Physics,Yancheng Teachers University,Yancheng 224002,China);Simulation of the Variable-speed Constant-frequency Wind Turbine Control System Based on PSCAD/EMTDC[J];Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Universities for Electric Power System and its Automation;2008-03
2 ZHENG Tai-yi1,YAN Gan-gui2,ZHOU Zhi-qiang2,MU Gang2,CUI Yang2,HUANG Ya-feng2(1.Jilin Electric Power Co.Ltd,Changchun 130021,China;2.School of Electrical Engineering,Northeast Dianli University,Jilin 132012,China);Simulation and Verification of DFIG Wind Turbine to Grid Voltage Sags[J];Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Universities for Electric Power System and its Automation;2009-03
3 SHI Li-bao1;DAI Shi-qiang1,XU Zheng1,ZHAO Yang-dong2 (1.Graduate School at Shenzhen,Tsinghua University,National Key Laboratory of Power System in Shenzhen,Shenzhen 518055,China;2.University of Queensland,Australia);Transient Stability Simulation with Large Scale Grid-connected Wind Farms of DFIG Type[J];Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Universities for Electric Power System and its Automation;2009-04
4 LEI Ya-zhou, WANG Wei-sheng, YIN Yong-hua, DAI Hui-zhu (China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100085, China);ANALYSYS OF WIND POWER VALUE TO POWER SYSTEM OPERATION[J];Power System Technology;2002-05
5 LEI Ya-zhou, WANG Wei-sheng, YIN Yong-hua, DAI Hui-zhu (China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100085, China);OPTIMAL REAL POWER FLOW IN WIND POWER INTEGRATED SYSTEM[J];Power System Technology;2002-06
6 SHEN Hong, LIANG Jun, DAI Hui-Zhu (China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100085, China);CALCULATION OF WIND FARM PENETRATION BASED ON POWER SYSTEM TRANSIENT STABILITY ANALYSIS[J];Power System Technology;2002-08
7 YANG Xiu-yuan1, 2, LIANG Gui-shu2 (1. Beijing Machinery Industry College, Beijing 100085, China; 2. North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, Hebei Province, China);DEVELOPMENT OF WIND POWER GENERATION AND ITS MARKET PROSPECT[J];Power System Technology;2003-07
8 WU Jun-ling1,ZHOU Shuang-xi1,SUN Jian-feng1,CHEN Shou-sun1,MENG Qing-he2 (1.Department of Electrical Engineering,Tsinghua University,Haidian District,Beijing 100084,China; 2.North China Power Engineering Co., Ltd.,Xicheng District,Beijing 100011,China);ANALYSIS ON MAXIMUM POWER INJECTION OF WIND FARM CONNECTED TO POWER SYSTEM[J];Power System Technology;2004-20
9 ZHANG Yi-bin, WANG Wei-sheng, DAI Hui-zhu (China Electric Power Research Institute, Haidian District, Beijing 100085, China);P-V CURVE BASED STATIC ANALYSIS FOR INTEGRATION OF WIND FARM INTO POWER SYSTEM[J];Power System Technology;2004-23
10 CHI Yong-ning1,LIU Yan-hua2,WANG Wei-sheng1,CHEN Mo-zi1,DAI Hui-zhu1 (1.China Electric Power Research Institute,Haidian District,Beijing 100085,China;2.School of electrical and electronic engineering,North China Electric Power University,Changping District,Beijing 102206,China);Study on Impact of Wind Power Integration on Power System[J];Power System Technology;2007-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved