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《Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science)》 2011-01
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Research on a policy-making model of the recreation and development predication of serious urban accidents

WU Guang-mou,ZHAO Wei-chuan,JIANG Yi-ping  
The traditional emergency management model of "predict-handle" turns out to be insufficient for the new situation today as the frequent occurrence of serious urban accidents in recent years has been a threat to the secure urban development.Based on the characteristics of the serious urban accidents today,this paper proposes a model capable of recreating and predicting the development situation of accidents.It has been testified experimentally that this model,superior to the traditional one,can meet the demands for more scientific policies in handling the serious urban accidents today and thus is an in-depth exploration of the urban accident management theory and practice.
【Fund】: 国家社会科学基金项目“城际重大危险源应急网络协同机制研究”(06BZZ019);; 南京市软科学项目”南京市重特大事故情景再现与态势推演策略研究”(宁科200903067)成果之一
【CateGory Index】: X913
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