Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《大气科学进展(英文版)》 2005-04
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics in East Asia Simulated by the MRI CGCM2

Akio KITOH, Masahiro HOSAKA, Yukimasa ADACHI, and Kenji KAMIGUCHI Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan  
Projected changes in precipitation characteristics around the mid-21 st century and end-of-the-century are analyzed using the daily precipitation output of the 3-member ensemble Meteorological Research Institute global ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation model (MRI-CGCM2) simulations under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios. It is found that both the frequency and intensity increase in about 40% of the globe, while both the frequency and intensity decrease in about 20% of the globe. These numbers differ only a few percent from decade to decade of the 21st century and between the A2 and B2 scenarios. Over the rest of the globe (about one third), the precipitation frequency decreases but its intensity increases, suggesting a shift of precipitation distribution toward more intense events by global warming. South China is such a region where the summertime wet-day frequency decreases but the precipitation intensity increases. This is related to increased atmospheric moisture content due to global warming and an intensified and more westwardly extended North Pacific subtropical anticyclone, which may be related with an El Nino-like mean sea surface temperature change. On the other hand, a decrease in summer precipitation is noted in North China, thus augmenting a south-to-north precipitation contrast more in the future.
【CateGory Index】: P437
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Zheng Fenli1,2,Wang Jianxun1,X.C.John Zhang3,Li Zhi1(1.College of Resources and Environment,Northwest A & F University,2.The State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on Loess Plateau, Institute of Soil and Water Conservation,Chinese Academy of Science and Ministry of Water Resource: 712100,Yangling,Shaanxi,China;3.USDA-ARS Grazinglands Research Laboratory,73036,EI Reno,Oklahoma,US);Climate change prediction in the future 40 years of the Hilly-gully region of Loess Plateau based on CLIGEN and GCM models:A case study in Ansai experimental station[J];Science of Soil and Water Conservation;2009-05
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 WU Qing bai 1, 2 , LI Xin 1, LI Wen jun 1 (1.State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, CAREERI, CAS, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China; 2.Earth Science Department of Nanjing University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210093, China);The Response Model of Permafrost along the Qinghai-Tibetan Highway under Climate Change[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2001-01
2 ZENG Tao,HAO Zhen-chun,WNAG Jia-hu (Water Resources Development and Utilization Laboratory, Hehai University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210098, China);Modeling the Response of Runoff to Climate Change[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2004-03
3 Niu Zhiming; Xie Mingshu; Sun Ge; Steven G. McNulty. College of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing For.Univ., 100083, P.R. China. \;;NPS models application in soil erosion simulating.[J];Journal of Beijing Forestry University;2001-02
4 LUO Gao-yuan (Department of Geography, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua Zhejiang 321004);A General Survey of the Studies on EI NiЙo and La Ni Йa in China[J];Scientia Geographica Sinica;2000-03
5 WANG Shao wu 1, GONG Dao yi 2, YE Jin lin 1, CHEN Zhen hua 1 (1 Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing 100871; 2 Institute of Resources Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875);Seasonal Precipitation Series of Eastern China Since 1880 and the Variability[J];ACTA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA;2000-03
6 ZHAI Panmao, PAN Xiaohua (National Climate Center,Beijing100081, China);Change in Extreme Temperature and Precipitation over Northern China During the Second Half of the20th Century[J];Acta Geographica Sinica;2003-S1
7 MA Zhuguo 1 , HUA Lijuan 2,1 , REN Xiaobo 1 (1. Chinese Academy of Sciences Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia,START Regional Center for East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,CAS, Beijing100029, China;2. Department of Oceanic Atmosphere,The Ocean University of China,Qingdao266003, China);The Extreme Dry/Wet Events in Northern China During Recent 100 Years[J];Acta Geographica Sinica;2003-S1
8 Cai Qiangguo(Institute of Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101)Shiu-hung Luk(University of Toronto Toronto. Canada)Wang Guiping(Shanxi Institute of and Water Conservation, Lishi Shanxi 033000);PROCESS-BASED SOIL EROSION AND SEDIMENT YIEID MODEL IN A SMALL BASIN IN THE HILLY LOESS REGION[J];ACTA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA;1996-02
9 Deng Huiping (Department of Geography, Shandong Teacher's University, Jinan\ 250014) Tang Laihua (Library of Northeast China Teachers' University, Changchun\ 130024);IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC CHANGES ON HYDROLOGIC BALANCE IN TUOJIANG BASIN, SICHUAN PROVINCE, CHINA[J];ACTA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA;1998-01
10 ZHANG Guang hui (Department of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875,China);Development of soil erosion models in China[J];Geographical Research;2001-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved