Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《大气科学进展(英文版)》 1997-04
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

The Interannual Variability and Predictability in a Global Climate Model

Wang Huijun, Xue Feng and Bi Xunqiang LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080  
The interannual variabilities of the climatological simulation (V1) and the AMIP (Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project) simulation (V2) by the IAP 9-Level Atmospheric General Circulation Model are studied and discussed in this paper. Based on the analysis of ratio of variability (R) of above two simulations the predictability of the model on the interannual climate variation are studied as well. Results show that V2 is bigger than V1 generally and V2 is more comparable to the real variability of the atmosphere, the major difference of V1 and V2 is in the tropics, for temperature and geopotential height the predictability is higher in the tropics while in the extra-tropics there is almost no predictability and the predictability is bigger in higher level than in lower level. The predictability for precipitation is generally low in the globe, and generally the predictability is high in the tropical eastern Pacific for the lower level. This study suggests that the possible way of increasing the model predictability is the improvement of land surface process modelling and the inclusion of the interannual variations of the land surface conditions (snow cover, albedo, soil moisture, etc.) as the forcing factor for climate modelling and prediction.
【CateGory Index】: P467
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 MU Mu DUAN Wansuo , and CHOU Jifan State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 Beijing Meteorological Training Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081;Recent Advances in Predictability Studies in China (1999-2002)[J];大气科学进展(英文版);2004-03
2 Zeng Qingcun, Wang Huijun, Lin Zhaohui, Li Chongyin, Huang Ronghui, Wu Guoxiong, and Zhou Tianjun (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029);A Study of the Climate Dynamics and Climate Prediction Theory[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2003-04
3 GUAN Yuanhong 1,2 ZHOU Guangqing 2 LU Weisong 3 1 College of Math & Physics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044 2 Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029 3 College of Atmospheric Science,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;The effect of the initial conditions after data assimilation on short-term climate prediction[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2011-04
4 ZHOU Bo-Tao1,2 and CUI Xuan31 National Climate Center,Beijing 1000812 Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 1000293 National Meteorological Center,Beijing 100081;Modeling the Relationship between Spring Hadley Circulation and the Summer Precipitation in the Yangtze River Valley[J];Climatic and Environmental Research;2008-02
5 Yuan Chongguang Li Xu Wang Huijun Bi Xunqiang Lin Zhaohui (Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100080);SHORT-TERM CLIMATIC ANOMALY NUMERICAL PREDICTION RESEARCH IN IAP/CAS[J];SCIENTIA METEOROLOGICA SINICA;2000-03
6 Wang Huijun1 Chen Lijuan1,2,3 Li Weijing2 Zhang Peiqun2 Liu Luliu21 Institute of Atmospheric Physics,CAS,Beijing 1000292 Laboratory for Climate Studies,National Climate Center,CMA,Beijing 1000813 Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100039;PREDICTABILITY OF DERF ON MONTHLY MEAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OVER CHINA[J];Acta Meteorologica Sinica;2007-05
7 Ju Lixia,Lang Xianmei. 1.Climate Change Research Center,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029, China 2.International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China;Hindcast experiment of extraseasonal short-term summer climate prediction over China with RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM[J];Acta Meteorologica Sinica;2012-02
8 JU Lixia1 and LANG Xianmei2 1 Climate Change Research Center,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 1000292 International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029;Hindcast Experiment of Extraseasonal Short-Term Summer Climate Prediction over China with RegCM3_IAP9L-AGCM[J];气象学报(英文版);2011-03
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 BAO Yan~1,2, Lü Shi-hua~1, LU Deng-rong~2, HOU Rui-qing~3(1.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental Engineering Research Institute,Chinese Academy of Science,Lanzhou Gansu,730000,China;2.Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou Gansu,730000,China;3.Hebei Bureau of Meteorology,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050020,China);Application of Regional Climate Model(RegCM3) in North-west China I: Simulation of an arid extreme event[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2006-02
2 BAO Yan~1,2, Lü Shi-hua~1, ZUO Hong-chao~3, HOU Rui-qin~4(1.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental Engineering Research Institute,Chinese Academy of Science,Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China;2.Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China;3.Gollege of Atmospheric Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China;4.Hebei Bureau of Meteorology, Shijiazhuang Hebei 050020,China);Application of Regional Climate Model(RegCM3) in Northwest China II: Sensitivity experiment for domain choice and cumulus convection parameterization[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2006-02
3 HUANG Jianbin~1) ZHU Jinhong LI Zhenhua(Department of Atmospheric Sciences,School of Physics,Peking University,Beijing,100871);Numerical Simulations of Summer Precipitation in China during 1951-2000 Using a Regional Climate Model[J];Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis;2007-03
4 Huang Ronghui and Wu YifangInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica. Beijing;The Influence of ENSO on the Summer Climate Change in China and Its Mechanism[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1989-01
5 Li ChongyinLASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100080;Interaction between Anomalous Winter Monsoon in East Asia and EI Nino Events[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1990-01
6 Zhang XuehongInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100080;Dynamical Framework of IAP Nine-Level Atmospheric General Circulation Model[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1990-01
7 Wang HuijunLASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100080;The Seasonal Climatic Simulation of 9000 Years before Present by Using the IAP Atmospheric General Circulation Model[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1992-04
8 Zeng Qingcun;Zhang Banglin;Yuan Chongguang; Lu Peisheng;Yang Fanglin; Li Xu and Wang Huijun (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080;A Note on Some Methods Suitable for Verifying and Correcting the Prediction of Climatic Anomaly[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1994-02
9 Wang Huijun and Bi Xunqiang (Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029)(Received June 8, 1995; revised August 2, 1995);The East Asian Monsoon Simulation with IAP AGCMs-A Composite Study[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1996-02
10 Liang XinzhongInstitute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100080;Description of A Nine-Level Grid Point Atmospheric General Circulation Model[J];大气科学进展(英文版);1996-03
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 CHEN Hai-bo et al(Ningxia Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Preventing and Mitigation,Yinchuan,Ningxia 750002);Analysis on the Characteristic and Predictability of Monthly Precipitation in Ningxia[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-24
2 LANG Xian-Mei International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029, China;An Effective Approach for Improving the Real-Time Prediction of Summer Rainfall over China[J];大气和海洋科学快报(英文版);2011-02
3 HUANG Li 1,2,LIU Xin-an 1,JIA Charles Q.2 1College of Chemical Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,P.R.China 2Department of Chemical Engineering and Applied Chemistry,University of Toronto,Toronto,Ontario,Canada M5S 3E5;Evaluating effects of atmospheric CO_2 on stability of global climate:a cell-to-cell mapping approach[J];重庆大学学报(英文版);2010-01
4 ZHOU Botao1,2 and ZHAO Ping3 1 Nansen-Zhu International Research Center,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029 2 National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081 3 National Meteorological Information Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081;Influence of the Asian-Pacific Oscillation on Spring Precipitation over Central Eastern China[J];大气科学进展(英文版);2010-03
5 LANG Xianmeiand ZHENG Fei International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029;A Statistical-Dynamical Scheme for the Extraseasonal Prediction of Summer Rainfall for 160 Observation Stations across China[J];大气科学进展(英文版);2011-06
6 CHEN Boyu 1,3 and MU Mu 2,1 1 National Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029 2 Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave,Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Qingdao 266071 3 Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049;The Roles of Spatial Locations and Patterns of Initial Errors in the Uncertainties of Tropical Cyclone Forecasts[J];大气科学进展(英文版);2012-01
7 LANG Xian Mei WANG Hui Jun JIANG Da Bang NZC and LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,China;EXTRASEASONAL SHORT-TERM PREDICTIONS OF SUMMER CLIMATE WITH IAP9L-AGCM[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2004-01
8 WANG Hui-JunNansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmopsheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029;Preliminary Research on the Inner-Atmosphere-Originated Seasonal Climate Predictability[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2005-01
9 WANG Huijun1,SUN Jianqi1,LANG Xianmei1,CHEN Lijuan1,2,and FU Weiwei11 Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029 2 National Climate Center,Beijing 100081;Some New Results in the Research of the Interannual Climate Variability and Short-Term Climate Prediction[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2008-04
10 HE Shengping1, 2, 3 and WANG Huijun1, 3 1 Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 2 Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 3 Climate Change Research Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029;An Integrated East Asian Winter Monsoon Index and Its Interannual Variability[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2012-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 Yu Kangqing, Zhou Yuehua, Yang Jingan Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan 430074 Kang Zhuo Computation Center, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072;Natural-base Wavelet Analyses and Short-range Climatic Prediction for Meteorological Element Time Sreies[A];[C];2006
2 LI Yan1 ZHU Wei-jun2 (1.National Marine Data and Information Service,SOA,Tianjin 300171;2.Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing,210044);Effects of the SSTA over Tropical Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean on the Hadley Circulation over East Asia in mature phase of El Nio event[A];[C];2010
3 Li Huanlian1,2,Li Qingquan2,Wang Lanning2,Dong Min2 (1.College of Atmospheric Sciences,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;2.National Climate Center,Beijing 100081);Extraseasonal Short-term Prediction of Summer Climate with BCC_AGCM2.0.1[A];[C];2011
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved