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《Progress in Geophysics》 2008-02
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A tentative earthquake warning system for the planet Earth

LI Yong(National Astronomical Observatories,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100012,China)  
We propose a tentative design of an earthquake warning system,which based on the tidal forces reckoned from the sun,the moon and other major planets on an epicenter and their characters of parameter distribution of the forces.Theoretically this model may provide accurate predicting information conveniently for any given region.So it is possible to become an assistant method for earthquake studies.In this paper,we employ the integrated globe 4018 cases of M≥6 earthquakes from 1973 to 2003 obtained from National Earthquake Information Center of U.S.Geological Survey(NEIC)and launch a test version of Earthquake Warning System for further studies.Here tests for Tangshan Earthquake of China in 1976 and Northern Sumatra Earthquake in 2004 are given.We also predict the possibility of M≥6 earthquake for San Francisco of the United States within 10 years from 2006 to 2015.
【Fund】: 天元基金资助项目(A0324673)资助
【CateGory Index】: P315
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